A game of hockey is usually won by the team that wins the most one-on-one battles on the ice. If we break down the game into specific situational battles the resulting numbers should tell us who won the game. These numbers also allow us to quantify players' performance by giving players credit for battles won, while keeping track of battles lost.
I've broken these one on one battles into 13 different categories.
-One on one wall battles won
-One on one wall battles lost
-Defensive zone face-offs won
-Defensive zone face-offs lost
-Offensive zone faceoffs won
-Offensive zone face-offs lost
-Shoot ins leading to possession
-Shoot ins leading to loss of possession
-Carry ins leading to possession
-Carry ins leading to loss of possession
-Point shots through to the net
The spreadsheet has them broken down into 26 specific situations in order to break down players' successes or failures by zones (offense, defensive, or neutral), and by manpower (power play, shorthanded or even strength).
Data gathered during the Montreal Canadiens 3-2 overtime win over the Florida Panthers on December 31st, 2010.
|SKI +||5||3||1||1||1||2||1||2||1||3||2||1||2||SKI +|
|PS THRU||3||6||1||5||1||PS THRU|
|PS BL||1||1||PS BL|
|OZWW||OFFENSIVE ZONE WALL BATTLE WON|
|OZWL||OFFENSIVE ZONE WALL BATTLE LOST|
|SKI +||SUCCESSFUL SKATING OF PUCK INTO OFFENSIVE ZONE|
|SKI-||UNSUCCESSFUL SKATING OF PUCK INTO OFFENSIVE ZONE|
|DI+||SUCCESSFUL DUMP IN WITH PUCK POSSESSION|
|DI-||UNSUCCESSFUL DUMP IN (NO PUCK POSSESSION)|
|DZWW||DEFENSIVE ZONE WALL BATTLE WON|
|DZWL||DEFENSIVE ZONE WALL BATTLE LOST|
|NZWW||NEUTRAL ZONE WALL BATTLE WON|
|NZWL||NEUTRAL ZONE WALL BATTLE LOST|
|DZTA||DEFENSIVE ZONE TAKE AWAY|
|DZGA||DEFENSIVE ZONE GIVE AWAY|
|NZTA||NEUTRAL ZONE TAKE AWAY|
|NZGA||NEUTRAL ZONE GIVE AWAY|
|DZFOW||DEFENSIVE ZONE FACE OFF WON|
|DZFOL||DEFENSIVE ZONE FACE OFF LOST|
|DZPKFOW||DEFENSIVE ZONE PENALTY KILL FACEOFF WON|
|DZPKFOL||DEFENSIVE ZONE PENALTY KILL FACE OFF LOST|
|OZPPFOW||OFFENSIVE ZONE POWERPLAY FACEOFF WON|
|OZPPFOL||OFFENSIVE ZONE POWERPLAY FACEOFF LOST|
|OZFOW||OFFENSIVE ZONE EVEN STRENGTH FACEOFF WON|
|OZFOL||OFFENSIVE ZONE EVEN STRENGTH FACEOFF LOST|
|PS THRU||POINT SHOT THROUGH PAST SHOT BLOCKING FORWARD|
|PS BL||POINT SHOT BLOCKED BY SHOT BLOCKING FORWARD OR DEFENSEMAN|
The players are given a score of one for each individual achievement or mistake. Succesful battles (dzone wall win) or a decision leading to offensive possession (successful dump in) go into the positive category, while lost battles(dzone wall loss) or a decision leading to a negative result (neutral zone giveaway) is placed in the negative category.
These results are then calculated to create a grade for each particular player for that game. This is done by dividing the positive results total by the total results (positive + negative). This result is used as the players grade for each game.
#6 Jaroslav Spacek
1 offensive zone battle along the wall won
1 dump-in leading to offensive zone possession
2 defensive zone battles along the wall won
1 defensive zone giveaway
1 defensive zone battles along the wall lost
4 positive / (4 positive + 2 negative)
*100 (to create the grade average)
= a grade of 67% for that game
I fully understand that it is impossible to create completely objective results using this system. It is based on my ability to spot these situations and tabulate then during a game. That said, it allows us the opportunity to compare our impression of a players play during a game with results obtained from specific battles and decisions made by those same players.
I look forward to posting my calculations of coming games, as well as an ongoing total value for each Montreal Canadien skater.