2010-2011 Montreal Canadiens Regular Season Risk/Reward Ratings

Negative and positive impact on games

An interesting application of the statistics I've accumulated is to attempt to quantify a players' impact on a specific game. By taking his average playing time and dividing it by the number of events, we can determine not only how involved said player is in the game, but also how much of his involvement has a positive or negative effect on his team.

The resulting numbers indicate how many events a player is involved in during each minute of ice-time (events/min). They also indicate how many positive events a player contributes during a minute of ice-time (pos/min), and how many negative events a player contributes during a minute of ice-time (neg/min).

*I've excluded faceoffs in order to even out the playing field*
*Regular season numbers used*

	6	11	13	14	15	20	21	22	32	44	45	46	52	53	55	57	58	67	68	75	76	81	94
POS	446	1265	862	1315	541	1240	1310	348	798	1209	290	1007	493	378	269	702	899	711	660	985	1681	815	403	POS
NEG	234	773	534	690	322	723	621	167	440	648	173	623	248	240	162	471	497	360	403	518	854	506	253	NEG
GAMES	21	44	29	40	34	42	44	20	42	43	14	44	27	27	12	43	43	29	31	37	44	40	30	GAMES
MIN/G	19.23	18.56	18.47	20.23	13.19	22.69	19.61	15.15	13.19	22.19	16.42	15.89	11.27	8.92	15.95	11.53	12.85	15.88	16.56	19.81	22.27	11.14	10.64	MIN/G
PLAYER	6	11	13	14	15	20	21	22	32	44	45	46	52	53	55	57	58	67	68	75	76	81	94	PLAYER
MINUTES	404	817	536	809	448	953	863	303	554	954	230	699	304	241	191	496	553	461	513	733	980	446	319	MINUTES
POS/MIN	1.10	1.55	1.61	1.63	1.21	1.30	1.52	1.15	1.44	1.27	1.26	1.44	1.62	1.57	1.41	1.42	1.63	1.54	1.29	1.34	1.72	1.83	1.26	POS/MIN
NEG/MIN	0.58	0.95	1.00	0.85	0.72	0.76	0.72	0.55	0.79	0.68	0.75	0.89	0.82	1.00	0.85	0.95	0.90	0.78	0.79	0.71	0.87	1.14	0.79	NEG/MIN
PLAYER	6	11	13	14	15	20	21	22	32	44	45	46	52	53	55	57	58	67	68	75	76	81	94	PLAYER
EVENTS/ MIN	1.68	2.50	2.61	2.48	1.92	2.06	2.24	1.70	2.23	1.95	2.01	2.33	2.44	2.57	2.25	2.37	2.53	2.33	2.07	2.05	2.59	2.96	2.06	EVENTS/ MIN

Events filed under "positive impact" include:
-successful puck battles
-successful deaks
-successful shoot-ins
-successful dump-ins
-takeaways
-blocked shots
-blocked passes
-shots
-points

Events filed under negative include:
-unsuccessful puck battles
-unsuccessful deaks
-unsuccessful shoot-ins
-unsuccessful dump-ins
-giveaways
-missed d-zone assignment
-offensive-zone shots blocked
-offensive-zone shots that miss the net

Most involved?
Players with the most total events per minute played include Lars Eller (2.96), Mike Cammalleri (2.61), PK Subban (2.59), Ryan White (2.57), David Desharnais (2.53), and Scott Gomez (2.50)

Least involved?
Players with the least events per minute played include Jaroslav Spacek (1.68), Paul Mara (1.70), Jeff Halpern (1.92), and Roman Hamrlik (1.95).

Who helps the most?
The players with the most positive events per minute of ice-time include Lars Eller (1.83), PK Subban (1.72), Tomas Plekanec (1.63), David Desharnais (1.63), Mathieu Darche (1.62), and Mike Cammalleri (1.61).

Who helps the least?
The players with the lowest amount of positive events per minute of ice-time include Jaroslav Spacek (1.10), Paul Mara (1.15), and Jeff Halpern (1.21).

Who hurts the most?
The players with the most negative events per minute of ice-time include Lars Eller (1.14), Mike Cammalleri (1.00), Ryan White (1.00), Scott Gomez (0.95), and Benoit Pouliot (0.95).

Who hurts the least?
The players with the least negative events per minute of ice-time include Paul Mara (0.55), Jaroslav Spacek (0.58), Roman Hamrlik (0.68), Hal Gill (0.71), Brian Gionta (0.72), and Jeff Halpern (0.72).

Risk-reward

We can determine a players overall value to a club by calculating the difference between positive events per minute of ice-time and negative events per minute of ice-time. We do this by subtracting the negative events per minute of ice-time from the positive events per minute of ice-time. The higher the resulting number the more value a player has to a team.

PLAYER	6	11	13	14	15	20	21	22	32	44	45	46	52	53	55	57	58	67	68	75	76	81	94	PLAYER
RISK/REWARD	0.52	0.60	0.61	0.77	0.49	0.54	0.80	0.60	0.65	0.59	0.51	0.55	0.81	0.57	0.56	0.47	0.73	0.76	0.50	0.64	0.84	0.69	0.47	RISK/REWARD
PLAYER	6	11	13	14	15	20	21	22	32	44	45	46	52	53	55	57	58	67	68	75	76	81	94	PLAYER

The  Keepers

Players with the largest difference between the amount of negative and positive events per minute of ice-time include PK Subban (0.84), Mathieu Darche (0.81), Brian Gionta (0.80), Tomas Plekanec (0.77), Max Pacioretty (0.76), and David Desharnais (0.73).