Thursday, August 18, 2011

Habs: One Game Scouting Report for Josh Gorges

Gorges with better grade and overall risk/reward rating than Markov

As I wrote in a previous report, a huge void in my coverage of the Canadiens last season resulted from the timing of my writing. I began compiling stats after Andrei Markov and Josh Gorges were injured. This meant that I had no tangible way of expressing just how important these two players are to this team.

Gorges grade and ratings through the games I've scouted have been better than I expected. In fact, Gorges average grade and risk/reward rating were the best of any Canadiens player. Gorges plays a clean, low-maintenance game. He wins puck battles, blocks shots and works hard to get the puck out of danger.

In an attempt to quantify the loss of Gorges over the final 48 games of last season, we can use the teams record with and without the 27-year-old defenseman. With Gorges the Habs record was 20-12-2; for a winning percentage of .588. Without him their record was 24-18-6; for a winning percentage of .500.

That said, teams are classified by the amount of points they accrue over the course of the season. With that in mind, I feel a more reflective way of quantifying Gorges loss is to look how many points-per-game the Canadiens earned with, and without number 26 in the lineup.

Montreal average 1.23 points-per-game with Gorges in the lineup. Averaging these numbers out over the course of the season we see that the Habs would have potentially earned 101 points had Gorges remained healthy; an increase of 9 points.

Consequently the Habs averaged 1.12 points-per-game without Gorges in the lineup. Averaging these number out we see that the Habs would have potentially earned only 92 points without Gorges. Obviously these numbers are only worth the paper they are printed on, but remain an interesting exercise none-the-less.

The following scouting report is from the Montreal Canadiens 3-2 loss to the Florida Panthers on October 30th, 2010.


Overall Grade

Gorges overall grade was 1 percentage-points below his overall average, but 9 percentage-points above the Habs regular season average. Gorges grade was helped by his 2 shots on goal, but hurt by a minus-1 rating. 



26
WINS 46 WINS
BATTLES 64 BATTLES
GRADE 72 GRADE
PLAYER 26


 Overall Risk/Reward Rating

Gorges overall risk/reward rating was above his average, and double that of the Montreal Canadiens. His best work was in the defensive and neutral-zones. He showed solid puck-management skills, while winning the majority of puck-battles.


26
MINUTES 17 MINUTES
POS/MIN 2.62 POS/MIN
NEG/MIN 1.05 NEG/MIN

26
EVENTS/ MIN 3.66 EVENTS/ MIN
RISK/REWARD 1.57 RISK/REWARD

26



Offensive-zone Risk/Reward Rating

Gorges saw limited powerplay time, which lowered his o-zone risk/reward rating. He won 50% of his offensive-zone puck-battles; most of which occurred during attempts to pinch-in at the offensive blueline. He completed 67% of his o-zone pass-attempts, while having 50% of his attempted shots from the blueline blocked by the opposition.


26
MINUTES 17 MINUTES
POS/MIN 0.52 POS/MIN
NEG/MIN 0.41 NEG/MIN

26
EVENTS/ MIN 0.93 EVENTS/ MIN
RISK/REWARD 0.12 RISK/REWARD

26


Defensive-zone Risk/Reward Rating

Obviously, this is where Gorges earns his money. He won 67% of his defensive-zone puck-battles, while completing 85% of his defensive-zone pass-attempts. He also blocked 2 shots, and 1 pass.  He did a great job finding the open man coming out of the d-zone. One of Gorges greatest strengths is his ability to stay on the defensive-side of the puck; he rarely gets pulled out of position.


26
MINUTES 17 MINUTES
POS/MIN 1.51 POS/MIN
NEG/MIN 0.41 NEG/MIN

26
EVENTS/ MIN 1.92 EVENTS/ MIN
RISK/REWARD 1.11 RISK/REWARD

26


Neutral-zone Risk/Reward Rating

Gorges had an above-average neutral-zone risk/reward rating. He was successful with 4 of his 6 pass-attempts, and won the only neutral-zone puck-battle he engaged in. Gorges made solid puck decisions, as he was successful with 4 of his 5 attempts to dump the puck deep into the offensive-zone. 


26
MINUTES 17 MINUTES
POS/MIN 0.64 POS/MIN
NEG/MIN 0.17 NEG/MIN

26
EV/ MIN 0.81 EVENTS/ MIN
RISK/REWARD0.47 RISK/REWARD

26


Raw data from a 3-2 loss to the Florida Panthers on October 30th, 2010.


26
OZPBW 4 OZPBW
OZPBL 4 OZPBL
OZPASS+ 4 OZPASS+
OZPASS- 2 OZPASS-
OZDEAK+
OZDEAK+


0
SKI +
SKI +
SKI-
SKI-
DI+ 4 DI+
DI- 1 DI-
OZTA
OZTA

26
DZPBW 11 DZPBW
DZPBL 5 DZPBL
DZPASS+ 11 DZPASS+
DZPASS- 2 DZPASS-
DZDEAK+
DZDEAK+
DZDEAK-
DZDEAK-
PK DUMP+ 1 PK DUMP+
PK DUMP-
PK DUMP-
DZTA
DZTA
DZ-BL-SHOT 2 DZ-BL-SHOT
DZ-BL-PASS 1 DZ-BL-PASS

26
NZPBW 1 NZPBW
NZPBL
NZPBL
NZPASS+ 4 NZPASS+
NZPASS- 2 NZPASS-
NZDEAK+
NZDEAK+
NZDEAK-
NZDEAK-
NZTA 2 NZTA

26
DZFOW
DZFOW
DZFOL
DZFOL
DZPKFOW
DZPKFOW
DZPKFOL
DZPKFOL
OZPPFOW
OZPPFOW
OZPPFOL
OZPPFOL
OZFOW
OZFOW
OZFOL
OZFOL
NZFOW
NZFOW
NZFOL
NZFOL

26
PS THRU 1 PS THRU
OZ PS BL 1 OZ PS BL
POINTS X2
POINTS X2
+/- -1 +/-
SHOTS 2 SHOTS

26
WINS 46 WINS
BATTLES 64 BATTLES
GRADE 72 GRADE
PLAYER 26












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