Sunday, November 6, 2011

Habs vs. Rangers 5-3 loss November 5, 2011

The Montreal Canadiens lost to the New York Rangers 5-3 Saturday night, as a lack of discipline and some questionable calls hurt the Habs ability to establish any rhythm in the game.


What is this? 
I track each and every play during a game. The main focus being on puck-possession. Any play by a player that maintains or acquires puck-possession is deemed a positive-event, while any play that fails to acquire, or loses puck-possession is considered a negative-event. I input the result into a database, allowing me to track players' successes or failures. I average approximately 1100 points of data per-game (when covering an entire team), or about 70 points of data per-player. Most players average just over 3 events per minute of ice-time. Whether it's an incomplete or complete pass-attempt, a won or lost race to a loose puck, a won or lost puck-battle, etc.; each result is tracked for each player. The results are also tracked by zone (offensive/defensive/neutral) and by situation (even-strength/powerplay/short-handed) and inputted into the database as such. This allows us to track how each player performs in each zone, and in each manpower situation.  Click the FAQ tab above for further information.





Only 6 of 18 skaters had risk/reward ratings above their season average. Erik Cole continued his streak of solid grades with a team-high 80. Other players with grades above 70 include Jaroslav Spacek, Tomas Plekanec, Brian Gionta, Josh Gorges, Max Pacioretty, Yannick Weber, and PK Subban.

Excluding Petteri Nokelainen, who left the game early, Mathieu Darche had the game's lowest grade. This is the second-game in a row where Darche has posted the lowest grade.

OVERALL RAW DATA

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Five players had overall risk/reward ratings above their season average. Subban had the top risk/reward thanks to some some solid work in all 3 zones. Other players with risk/reward ratings above 2.00 include Cole and Plekanec. Plekanec posted his lowest rating of the season during Friday's game in Ottawa.

Among players with a statistically-sound amount of ice time, Mathieu Darche had the lowest overall risk/reward. Other players with low ratings include Cammalleri, Moen and Kostitsyn.

OVERALL RAW DATA

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Six players had EVEN-STRENGTH risk/reward ratings above their season average. Cole had the top ES rating, followed by Subban, Spacek and Eller. Travis Moen had the lowest EVEN-STRENGTH risk/reward rating. Other players with low ES ratings include Kostitsyn, Desharnais and Darche.

EVEN-STRENGTH RAW DATA

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Five players had EVEN-STRENGTH offensive-zone risk/reward ratings above their season average. Cole had the top o-zone rating at even-strength, followed by Weber, Gorges and Gionta. Cole recovered 3 loose-pucks, and beat opposition players 4 times 1on1 (deak). Gionta produced one of his best o-zone passing success-rates this season, completing 4 of 5 attempted passes.

Mike Cammalleri, Kostitsyn and Gill all had EVEN-STRENGTH offensive-zone risk/reward ratings in the negative. This indicates that all 3 players made more plays that gave up puck-possession, than plays that acquired or maintained puck-possession while in the offensive-zone. Cammalleri lost all 4 o-zone puck-battles he engaged in, while Kostitsyn completed only 2 of 8 offensive-zone pass-attempts.

EVEN-STRENGTH RAW DATA

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Eight players had EVEN-STRENGTH defensive-zone risk/reward ratings above their season average. Three of those players were defensemen. Jaroslav Spacek had the top d-zone rating, followed by Eller and Subban. Spacek won 6 of 8 d-zone puck-battles, and completed 15 of 22 d-zone passes. Subban completed 19 of 23 d-zone passes, while Eller was successful with all 8 of his d-zone pass-attempts.

Travis Moen had the lowest EVEN-STRENGTH defensive-zone risk/reward rating, followed by Desharnais. Desharnais uncharacteristically completed only 33 % of his d-zone pass-attempts.

EVEN-STRENGTH RAW DATA

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Six players had EVEN-STRENGTH neutral-zone risk/reward ratings above their season average. Subban, Cole and Plekanec had the top neutral-zone risk/reward ratings. Cole recovered 4 loose-pucks in the neutral-zone, while both Plekanec and Subban completed all of their attempted n-zone passes.

Darche and Desharnais both had n-zone risk/reward ratings in the negative. Darche had few n-zone events; he failed with his only attempted dump-in, and wasn't able to cleanly receive 2 passes. Desharnais completed only 1 of 3 n-zone passes.

EVEN-STRENGTH RAW DATA

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Five players had SHORT-HANDED risk/reward ratings above their season average. The Habs spent a large portion of the game short-handed. Even more incredible is the fact that Josh Gorges played over 10 minutes on the ice while Montreal was down at least one man. Spacek had the top short-handed rating, while Plekanec was a close second. Spacek blocked 2 passes and completed 3 dump-outs, while Plekanec completed 3 dump-outs and blocked 3 passes.

Darche was the only player with a negative short-handed risk/reward rating. But, he played only 20 seconds short-handed.

SHORT-HANDED RAW DATA

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Nine players had powerplay risk/reward ratings above their season average. Subban had the top rating, followed by Plekanec and Cammalleri. Cole had the lowest PP rating, as he lost his only PP puck-battle.

POWERPLAY RAW DATA

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