Friday, July 29, 2011

Habs: One Game Scouting Report for Morgan Ellis

Ellis with solid rating despite 5-1 loss

Morgan Ellis was drafted by the Montreal Canadiens in the fourth round of the 2010 NHL Entry draft. The right-handed shooting defenseman has a reputation as a solid leader, with a good work-ethic. The 6'1", 200 lbs Ellis showed some impressive skating; with strong cross-overs while skating both forward and backward.

Ellis plays on a young Cape Breton team still struggling to compete. They were particularly overmatched during the game scouted. Losing 5-1 to the eventual Memorial Cup champion St. John Sea Dogs. Ellis is the undisputed number one defenseman on the team. He played on the number one powerplay, on the top penalty-killing unit, and against the Sea Dogs' top-players at even-strength.


Overall Grade

Ellis had a solid grade despite ending the game with a minus-1 rating during a 5-1 loss. Most of his events took place in the defensive-zone; understandable considering the strength of opposition and the game's final score. His best numbers actually took place in the offensive-zone, where he won all 8 of his o-zone puck-battles. His grade was 6 percentage-points above the Habs' regular season team average from last season.


4
WINS 71 WINS
BATTLES 103 BATTLES
GRADE 69 GRADE
PLAYER 4


Overall Risk/Reward Rating

Ellis had a solid overall risk/reward rating.  His rating was the 10th-best recorded by a Habs prospect this past season. His events-per-minute were relatively high considering his ice-time, while his ratings improved as the game wore on. He was able to walk the offensive-line on 2 seperate occasions; allowing him to create a lane in order to get a shot through to the net.


4
MINUTES 24 MINUTES
POS/MIN 2.96 POS/MIN
NEG/MIN 1.33 NEG/MIN

4
EVENTS/ MIN 4.29 EVENTS/ MIN
RISK/REWARD 1.63 RISK/REWARD

4


Offensive-zone Risk/Reward Rating

Ellis' work in the offensive-zone carried his grade. Despite a limited amount of events in the offensive-zone, Ellis was able to win all 8 of his o-zone puck-battles, while completing 67% of his offensive-zone passes. He also managed 1 o-zone takeaway.


4
MINUTES 24 MINUTES
POS/MIN 0.71 POS/MIN
NEG/MIN 0.17 NEG/MIN

4
EVENTS/ MIN 0.88 EVENTS/ MIN
RISK/REWARD 0.54 RISK/REWARD

4


Defensive-zone Risk/Reward Rating

As explained earlier, the majority of Ellis' events took place in the defensive-zone. He had a strong game cutting off passing lanes, as he racked up 6 blocked passes, and 2 blocked shots. He won 57% of his d-zone puck-battles, while completing 59% of his his pass-attempts. His defensive-zone rating was the 5th best recorded by a Habs prospect last season.


4
MINUTES 24 MINUTES
POS/MIN 1.92 POS/MIN
NEG/MIN 1.04 NEG/MIN

4
EVENTS/ MIN 2.96 EVENTS/ MIN
RISK/REWARD 0.88 RISK/REWARD

4


Neutral-zone Risk/Reward Rating

Ellis displayed some solid puck-management skills; completing all 6 of his attempted even strength dump-ins and  both of his attempted short-handed dump-outs. He won 67% of his neutral-zone puck-battles, but  was successful with only 50% of his attempted neutral-zone pass-attempts.


4
MINUTES 24 MINUTES
POS/MIN 0.42 POS/MIN
NEG/MIN 0.08 NEG/MIN

4
EV/ MIN 0.50 EVENTS/ MIN
RISK/REWARD 0.33 RISK/REWARD

4


Raw Numbers from a 5-1 loss to the St. John Sea Dogs on March 29th, 2011


4
OZPBW 8 OZPBW
OZPBL
OZPBL
OZPASS+ 6 OZPASS+
OZPASS- 3 OZPASS-
OZDEAK+
OZDEAK+
OZDEAK- 1 OZDEAK-
SKI +
SKI +
SKI-
SKI-
DI+ 6 DI+
DI-
DI-
OZTA 1 OZTA

4
DZPBW 17 DZPBW
DZPBL 13 DZPBL
DZPASS+ 17 DZPASS+
DZPASS- 12 DZPASS-
DZDEAK+ 1 DZDEAK+
DZDEAK-
DZDEAK-
PK DUMP+ 2 PK DUMP+
PK DUMP-
PK DUMP-
DZTA 1 DZTA
DZ-BL-SHOT 2 DZ-BL-SHOT
DZ-BL-PASS 6 DZ-BL-PASS

4
NZPBW 2 NZPBW
NZPBL 1 NZPBL
NZPASS+ 1 NZPASS+
NZPASS- 1 NZPASS-
NZDEAK+ 1 NZDEAK+
NZDEAK-
NZDEAK-
NZTA
NZTA

4
DZFOW
DZFOW
DZFOL
DZFOL
DZPKFOW
DZPKFOW
DZPKFOL
DZPKFOL
OZPPFOW
OZPPFOW
OZPPFOL
OZPPFOL
OZFOW
OZFOW
OZFOL
OZFOL
NZFOW
NZFOW
NZFOL
NZFOL

4
PS THRU 2 PS THRU
OZ PS BL
OZ PS BL
POINTS X2
POINTS X2
+/- -1 +/-
SHOTS 1 SHOTS

4
WINS 71 WINS
BATTLES 103 BATTLES
GRADE 69 GRADE
PLAYER 4

Thursday, July 28, 2011

Habs: One Game Scouting Report for Mark Mitera

Perfect d-zone passing-percentage carries Mitera's grade

Mark Mitera was brought in to the Montreal Canadiens family on July 15th. The Habs traded the right-handed shooting Mathieu Carle to the Ducks in exchange for the left-handed shooting Mitera. The deal fit both teams' needs based on Organizational depth (lefty vs. righty on depth chart) and waiver exemptions (Mitera is waiver-exempt while Carle is not).

Mitera has a reputation as a strong skating defenseman with a solid stick. He won the majority of his battles, while dominating at the NCAA level, but his development has been slowed by injuries.

During this particular game, Mitera did not play on the powerplay, but was a regular on the second penalty-killing unit. Despite having a reputation as a strong skater, Mitera gave the impression of having below-average speed during stops and starts, as well as while changing directions during cross-overs. Perhaps he was dealing with an injury, or having problems with his edges; he also fell twice while skating by himself.


Overall Grade

Mitera had an above-average overall grade of 75. His mark was 12 percentage-points above the Habs' regular season average. His grade was carried by his passing skills, as he completed all 18 of his defensive and offensive-zone pass-attempts.

For the fun of comparing, Mathieu Carle produced an overall grade of 79 during a game scouted last season.


17
WINS 44 WINS
EVENTS 59 EVENTS
GRADE 75 GRADE
PLAYER 17


Overall Risk/Reward Rating

Mitera's overall risk/reward rating was the seventh best rating recorded by a Habs' prospect at any level thus far. As mentioned earlier, his rating was carried by his passing skills. He completed 18 of 22 total pass-attempts, while completing all 15 of his d-zone attempts. Mitera's rating would likely have been off-the-charts if not for his work during puck-battles, as he lost 11 of 19 total puck-battles.

Carle recorded an overall risk/reward rating of 1.13 during a game scouted this past season.


17
MINUTES 17 MINUTES
POS/MIN 2.59 POS/MIN
NEG/MIN 0.88 NEG/MIN

17
EVENTS/ MIN 3.47 EVENTS/ MIN
RISK/REWARD 1.71 RISK/REWARD

17


Offensive-zone Risk/Reward

Mitera didn't see any time on the powerplay, so all of his offensive-zone events took place at even strength. He completed all 3 of his o-zone pass-attempts, but lost 2 of 3 o-zone puck-battles. Both losses occurred during failed attempts to pinch at the offensive blueline. Mitera was able to get 1 of his 2 shot attempts from the blueline through to the net.

Carle recorded an o-zone risk/reward rating of 0.26 during a game scouted this past season.


17
MINUTES 17 MINUTES
POS/MIN 0.29 POS/MIN
NEG/MIN 0.18 NEG/MIN

17
EVENTS/ MIN 0.47 EVENTS/ MIN
RISK/REWARD 0.12 RISK/REWARD

17


Defensive-zone Risk/Reward Rating

I cannot stress how impressive Mitera's passing was coming out of the defensive-zone. I've never seen a defenseman playing a regular shift able to complete 100% of his outlet passes. If Mitera was able to do a better job winning puck-battles in the d-zone his rating would have been among the best ever recorded. He won only 6 of 14 d-zone puck-battles. The 8 lost puck-battles were the only negative-events he recorded in the defensive-zone.

Carle recorded a d-zone risk/reward rating of 0.30 during a recent game scouted.


17
MINUTES 17 MINUTES
POS/MIN 1.53 POS/MIN
NEG/MIN 0.47 NEG/MIN

V
EVENTS/ MIN 2.00 EVENTS/ MIN
RISK/REWARD 1.06 RISK/REWARD

17


Neutral-zone Risk/Reward Rating

Mitera's only failed pass-attempts occurred in the neutral-zone. He completed 4 of 8 n-zone pass-attempts, while winning 1 of 2 puck-battles and recording 1 neutral-zone takeaway. He was also successful with both his attempts to dump the puck into the offensive-zone.

Mathieu Carle recorded an n-zone risk/reward rating of 0.35 during a recent game-scouted.


17
MINUTES 17 MINUTES
POS/MIN 0.47 POS/MIN
NEG/MIN 0.29 NEG/MIN

17
EV/ MIN 0.76 EVENTS/ MIN
RISK/REWARD 0.18 RISK/REWARD

17

Monday, July 25, 2011

Habs: One game Scouting Report for Mike Blunden

Blunden uses his speed to win puck-battles in o-zone and on the back-check

Mike Blunden was acquired by the Montreal Canadiens in a trade for Ryan Russel on July 7th, 2011. Blunden is coming off season-ending shoulder surgery that saw him play his last game January 14th. Blunden is a big body with impressive straight-ahead speed. The 6'4", 213 lbs right-winger shoots right, and plays a solid game along the wall.  As with another recent Habs pick-up, Mark Mitera; injuries have hurt Blunden's development.

During the game scouted Blunden played on the first penalty-killing unit, as well as the second powerplay unit. He spent most of the powerplay working the half-wall along his opposite wing.

Scouting report from January 9th 3-2 overtime win over Worcester


Overall Grade

Blunden kept his game simple, while putting up positive events in multiple categories. He completed 16 of 20 overall pass-attempts, while getting the puck deep into the offensive-zone during 8 of his 11 opportunities. He also managed 5 shots on goal; three from outside the slot, and 2 by way of deflections. Blunden's overall grade is 9 percentage points above the Canadiens regular season average last season, and 4 points above a mark put up by Aaron Palushaj at the AHL level last season. That said, this is only a one-game scouting report and should not by used to determine a players long term value or development potential.


12
WINS 57 WINS
BATTLES 79 BATTLES
GRADE 72 GRADE
PLAYER 12


Overall Risk/Reward Rating

Blunden's overall risk/reward rating was substantially above-average; particularly for a forward. His rating was carried by his solid passing percentage in all 3-zones, as well as his work winning puck-battles with speed in the offensive-zone. He was impressive on the back-check, where his strong straight-ahead speed allowed him to win 4 defensive-zone puck-battles simply by catching up to the attacking opposition forward.


17
MINUTES 18 MINUTES
POS/MIN 3.11 POS/MIN
NEG/MIN 1.17 NEG/MIN

17
EVENTS/ MIN 4.28 EVENTS/ MIN
RISK/REWARD 1.94 RISK/REWARD

17



Offensive-zone Risk/Reward Rating

Blunden's offensive-zone risk/reward rating was the lowest of the 3 zone-specific ratings. He won 58% of his o-zone puck-battles, and completed 63% of his offensive-zone passes, but 3 blocked/missed shots on net from the slot hurt his o-zone number.



17
MINUTES 18 MINUTES
POS/MIN 0.78 POS/MIN
NEG/MIN 0.61 NEG/MIN

17
EVENTS/ MIN 1.39 EVENTS/ MIN
RISK/REWARD 0.17 RISK/REWARD

17


Defensive-zone Risk/Reward Rating

Blunden did his best work in the defensive-zone. He was strong on the puck while back-checking and along the defensive wall; particularly during the transition. He completed 88% of his defensive-zone pass-attempts, while managing 2 d-zone takeaways, 2 d-zone blocked passes and 1 blocked shot.



17
MINUTES 18 MINUTES
POS/MIN 1.17 POS/MIN
NEG/MIN 0.33 NEG/MIN

V
EVENTS/ MIN 1.50 EVENTS/ MIN
RISK/REWARD 0.83 RISK/REWARD

17


Neutral-zone Risk/Reward Rating

Blunden had an above-average rating in the neutral-zone. His puck management decisions carried his rating, as he was successful with 5 of 7 dump-ins, and 3 of 4 skate-ins. He also completed all 4 of his n-zone pass-attempts and his lone attempt to beat an opposing player 1on1 (deak) while in possession of the puck.


17
MINUTES 18 MINUTES
POS/MIN 0.78 POS/MIN
NEG/MIN 0.28 NEG/MIN

17
EV/ MIN 1.06 EVENTS/ MIN
RISK/REWARD 0.50 RISK/REWARD

17


Raw Data


12
OZPBW 7 OZPBW
OZPBL 5 OZPBL
OZPASS+ 5 OZPASS+
OZPASS- 3 OZPASS-
OZDEAK+
OZDEAK+
OZDEAK-
OZDEAK-
SKI + 3 SKI +
SKI- 1 SKI-
DI+ 5 DI+
DI- 2 DI-
OZTA
OZTA

12
DZPBW DZPBW
DZPBL 5 DZPBL
DZPASS+ 7 DZPASS+
DZPASS- 1 DZPASS-
DZDEAK+
DZDEAK+
DZDEAK-
DZDEAK-
PK DUMP+ 1 PK DUMP+
PK DUMP-
PK DUMP-
DZTA 2 DZTA
DZ-BL-SHOT 1 0
DZ-BL-PASS 2 DZ-BL-PASS

12
NZPBW 1 NZPBW
NZPBL 2 NZPBL
NZPASS+ 4 NZPASS+
NZPASS-
NZPASS-
NZDEAK+ 1 NZDEAK+
NZDEAK-
NZDEAK-
NZTA
NZTA

12
DZFOW 1 DZFOW
DZFOL
DZFOL
DZPKFOW
DZPKFOW
DZPKFOL 1 DZPKFOL
OZPPFOW
OZPPFOW
OZPPFOL
OZPPFOL
OZFOW
OZFOW
OZFOL
OZFOL
NZFOW
NZFOW
NZFOL
NZFOL

12
PS THRU 2 PS THRU
OZ PS BL 3 OZ PS BL
POINTS X2 2 POINTS X2
+/- -1 +/-
SHOTS 5 SHOTS

12
WINS 57 WINS
BATTLES 79 BATTLES
GRADE 72 GRADE
PLAYER 12