Eller only player to produce a one-game risk/reward rating above 3.00 (he's done it twice!)
Graph and write-up for right-handed defensemen available here
Graph and write-up for one group left-handed defensemen available here
Graph and write-up for another group of left-handed defensemen available here
The below graph is a visual representation of the above players' overall risk/reward rating through the first 24 games of the 2011-2012 season. Each point on the data line is the player's rating from the game indicated at the bottom of the graph. The grey line is the entire team's average (not just the average from these players) from each game.
Broken down into its simplest form, Risk/reward is the difference between the number of "good plays" a player produces, and the "bad plays" a player produces for each minute they are on the ice. The higher the number the more a player helps their team maintain puck-possession throughout the game.
Some of the events that used to determine a player's overall risk/reward include:
- Successful or unsuccessful passes
- Successfully or unsuccessfully beating an opponent 1on1 (deke)
- Successful or unsuccessful shot-attempts (puck on net)
- Successful or unsuccessful dump-ins
- Successful or unsuccessful puck-battles
- Successful or unsuccessful loose-puck recoveries
- Successful or unsuccessful blocked passes
- Successful or unsuccessful blocked shots
- Successful or unsuccessful stick-checks
Tomas Plekanec has the top overall risk/reward rating among Canadiens forwards. In fact, Plekanec's 1.75 rating is 0.18 above any other forward. He has produced an above-average rating in 18 of 24 games, while his grade has been above 2.00 six separate times. That said, the ice-time, responsibility and a likely injury may be catching up to the Czech centre, as he's had below-average grades in 2 of the last 4 games.
Among forwards, Plekanec's has the sixth-best offensive-zone passing percentage, the fourth-best neutral-zone passing percentage, and a surprisingly low eleventh-best d-zone passing success-rate.
Scott Gomez has the second-best overall risk/reward rating among forwards (1.57). He has produced an above-average rating in 8 of the 12 games he's played. His rating has been above 2.00 on 3 occasions, while his rating has dropped below 1.00 only once. Gomez's overall rating is often carried by his team-leading neutral-zone risk/reward rating.
A possible explanation of why number 11 has a solid rating despite producing little offence can be found in his offensive-zone passing-percentage. Gomez has the eleventh-best offensive-zone passing success-rate among forwards. In contrast, he has the best defensive-zone passing-percentage, and the second-best neutral-zone passing percentage.
Among forwards, Desharnais has the fifth-best overall risk/reward rating (1.31). He has produced an above-average risk/reward rating in 12 of 24 games. He, along with Lars Eller have been the least consistent of all centremen. His rating has been above 2.00 once, but below 0.50 four times. Desharnais rating is often carried by his second-ranked (among forwards) powerplay risk/reward rating.
Desharnais' rating is often linked to his passing-percentage. Among forwards, he has the third-best offensive-zone passing-percentage, the third-best defensive-zone passing-percentage, but only the eleventh-ranked neutral-zone passing-percentage.
Also among forwards, Lars Eller has the fourth-best overall risk/reward rating; behind only Plekanec, Max Pacioretty and Gomez. He has produced an above-average rating in 11 of 22 games. Consistency is still a factor in Eller's play. Incredibly, he is the only Canadiens player (including PK Subban) to produce an overall risk/reward rating above 3.00; a feat he's managed on 2 separate occasions. In contrast, he has also produced the 2 lowest ratings among this group of players.
Eller has the tenth-ranked offensive-zone passing-percentage, to go along with the thirteenth-best neutral-zone passing-percentage, and the eighth-best defensive-zone passing percentage. Eller's best asset remains his stick, as he his success-rate for both defensive and neutral-zone puck-battles is among the team leaders.