Saturday, December 31, 2011

2012 WJHC: One game scouting report for Nail Yakupov and Mikhail Grigorenko

Russia's Nail Yakupov and Mikhail Grigorenko are both ranked among the top-5 players available for the upcoming 2012 NHL Entry Draft. Yakupov is a 5'11", 161 lbs left-handed winger, while Grigorenko is a 6'2", 185 lbs  left-handed centre.This one-game scouting report is from team Russia's 3-0 win over Switzerland in the World Junior Championship's opening round game on December 26th.

Both players are strong puck-movers with impressive offensive-instincts. During the game scouted Grigorenko played more of a perimeter game, while showing a willingness and ability to support his defensemen through the neutral, and deep into the defensive-zone. Grigorenko has 25 goals and 33 assists through 36 games with the QMJHL's Quebec Remparts this season.

Yakupov also played a perimeter game. That said, once the puck was on the young phenom's stick, he would go straight to the tough scoring areas. As a winger, Yakupov had less d-zone responsibilities. As such, he was less involved defensively; often flying the d-zone early. Yakupov is averaging more than 2 points-per-game through 26 games with Sarnia this season, as he has 21 goals to go along with 32 assists.


OVERALL GRADE

Grigorenko had the better overall grade thanks to his offensive-ouput of 1 goal and 1 assist. Yakupov did  produce multiple offensive opportunities in the game, but did not earn any points.


10 17
WINS 42 58 WINS
EVENTS 59 70 EVENTS
GRADE 71 83 GRADE
PLAYER 10 17


OVERALL RISK/REWARD RATING

Both players were impressively involved in the play; producing over 4 events per-minute played. Grigorenko had an elite-level overall risk/reward rating of 2.75 to go along with an overall ratio of 4.17 successful plays for every 1 mistake or lost puck-battle. His best rating was produced in the defensive-zone.

Yakupov had an overall risk/reward rating of 1.66 to go along with an overall ratio of 2.24 successful plays for every 1 mistake or lost puck-battle. His best rating was produced in the offensive-zone.


10 17
POS 38 50 POS
NEG 17 12 NEG
RATIO 2.24 4.17 RATIO
MIN/G 12.67 13.83 MIN/G

10 17
MINUTES 13 14 MINUTES
POS/MIN 3.00 3.62 POS/MIN
NEG/MIN 1.34 0.87 NEG/MIN

10 17
EVENTS/ MIN 4.34 4.48 EVENTS/ MIN
RISK/REWARD 1.66 2.75 RISK/REWARD

10 17



OFFENSIVE-ZONE RISK/REWARD RATING

Despite Grigorenko producing more points, it was actually Yakupov who had the better offensive-zone risk/reward rating (1.10). His higher rating was made possible by his activity in the offensive-zone, as he was involved in an incredible 3 offensive-zone events per-minute played. He produced an offensive-zone ratio of 2.17 successful plays for every 1 mistake or lost puck-battle. He won his only offensive-zone puck-battle, while recovering 7 loose-pucks. He completed 8 of 14 o-zone pass-attempts, while successfully beating opposition players with 8 of his 12 attempted dekes. Two of his four attempted shots were on net.

Grigorenko had an offensive-zone risk/reward rating of 0.43 to go along with an o-zone ratio of 2 successful plays for every 1 mistake or lost puck-battle. He was involved in less than half as many o-zone evetts as Yakupov. He lost his only offensive-zone puck-battle, but recovered 6 loose-pucks. He completed 9 of 11 attempted passes, while successfully beating opposing players 1on1 with both his attempted dekes.


10 17
OZ POS 26 12 OZ POS
OZ NEG 12 6 OZ NEG
RATIO 2.17 2.00 RATIO
MIN/G 12.67 13.83 MIN/G

10 17
MINUTES 13 14 MINUTES
POS/MIN 2.05 0.87 POS/MIN
NEG/MIN 0.95 0.43 NEG/MIN

10 17
EVENTS/ MIN 3.00 1.30 EVENTS/ MIN
RISK/REWARD 1.10 0.43 RISK/REWARD

10 17



DEFENSIVE-ZONE RISK/REWARD RATING

Grigorenko had far-and-away the better defensive-zone risk/reward rating (1.08), while managing an incredible d-zone ratio of 4 successful plays for every 1 mistake or lost puck-battle. He also had more than twice as many d-zone events as his fellow Russian prospect. He won 2 of his 3 d-zone puck-battles, while recoving 9 loose-pucks. He also completed 5 of his 6 d-zone pass-attempts.

Yakupov had a defensive-zone risk/reward rating of 0.08, to go along with a d-zone ratio of only 1.20 successful plays for every 1 mistake or lost puck-battle. He was involved in 0.87 d-zone events per-minute of ice-time. He won only 1 of his 3 d-zone puck-battles, and completed 2 of his 4 d-zone pass-attempts.


10 17
DZ POS 6 20 DZ POS
DZ NEG 5 5 DZ NEG
RATIO 1.2 4 RATIO
MIN/G 12.67 13.83 MIN/G

10 17
MINUTES 13 14 MINUTES
POS/MIN 0.47 1.45 POS/MIN
NEG/MIN 0.39 0.36 NEG/MIN

10 17
EVENTS/ MIN 0.87 1.81 EVENTS/ MIN
RISK/REWARD 0.08 1.08 RISK/REWARD

10 17



NEUTRAL-ZONE RISK/REWARD RATING

Both prospects had similar neutral-zone risk/reward ratings, but Grigorenko had twice as many neutral-zone events per-minute of ice-time.

Yakupov had a neutral-zone rating of 0.32 and a neutral-zone ratio of 3 successful plays per minute of ice time. He completed 1 of his 2 neutral-zone passes, while beating an opposition player 1on1 with his only attempted deke. He also intercepted 1 Swiss pass in the neutral-zone, while successfully dumping the puck deep into the offensive-zone 3 times.

Grigorenko had a neutral zone risk/reward rating 0.36 and a neutral-zone ratio of 1.83 successful plays for every 1 mistake or lost puck-battle. He lost his only neutral-zone risk/reward rating an completed 6 of his 8 n-zone pass-attempts. He was unable to handle 2 neutral-zone passes, and dumped the puck deep into the offensive-zone on one other occassion.


10 17
NZ POS 6 11 NZ POS
NZ NEG 2 6 NZ NEG
RATIO 3.00 1.83 RATIO
MIN/G 12.67 13.83 MIN/G

10 17
MINUTES 13 14 MINUTES
POS/MIN 0.47 0.80 POS/MIN
NEG/MIN 0.16 0.43 NEG/MIN

10 17
EV/ MIN 0.63 1.23 EV/ MIN
RISK/REWARD 0.32 0.36 RISK/REWARD

10 17



SHORT-HANDED RISK/REWARD RATING

Yakupov was not used to kill any penalties, while Grigorenko had just over 1 minute of PK ice-time. He had a perfect performance short-handed; producing 5 successful plays. He intercepted 1 neutral-zone pass, recovered 2 loose-pucks in the defensive-zone, while successfully dumping the puck out of the d-zone twice.


17
POS 5 POS
NEG 0 NEG
RATIO N\A GAMES
MIN/G 1 MIN/G

17
MINUTES 1 MINUTES
POS/MIN 5.00 POS/MIN
NEG/MIN 0.00 NEG/MIN

17
EVENTS/ MIN 5.00 EVENTS/ MIN
RISK/REWARD 5.00 RISK/REWARD

17


POWERPLAY RISK/REWARD RATING

Both players were used on the powerplay. Yakupov was involved in 5.13 events per minute of powerplay ice-ime. He had a powerplay risk/reward rating of 4.27 and a PP ratio of 6 successful plays for every 1 mistake or lost puck-battle. He had 1 shot on net and completed 2 of his 3 PP pass-attempts.

Grigorenko produced 3.76 events per minute of powerplay ice-time, to go along with a PP ratio of 4 successful plays for every 1 mistake or lost puck-battle. He had 1 shot on net, recovered 1 loose-puck, and completed 2 of his 3 PP pass-attempts.


10 17
POS 6 4 POS
NEG 1 1 NEG
RATIO 6 4 RATIO
MIN/G 1.17 1.33 MIN/G

10 17
MINUTES 1 1 MINUTES
POS/MIN 5.13 3.01 POS/MIN
NEG/MIN 0.85 0.75 NEG/MIN

10 17
EVENTS/ MIN 5.98 3.76 EVENTS/ MIN
RISK/REWARD 4.27 2.26 RISK/REWARD

10 17

Thursday, December 29, 2011

2012 WJHC: One game scouting report for Filip Forsberg and Sebastian Collberg

Sweden's Filip Forsberg and Sebastian Collberg are both projected first round draft picks in the upcoming 2012 NHL draft. Forsberg is a 6'1", 176 lbs left-winger who mostly plays the right side. Collberg is a 5'11, 174 lbs right-winger who shoots from the right-side.

Forsberg is a great puck-moving forward who has loads of flair, and the confidence to make solid plays while carrying the puck through the neutral-zone. He's played 10 games in the Swedish Elite League this season, scoring 1 goal. Collberg is more of an offensive-dynamo, who plays his best in the offensive-zone thanks to an impressive, "nose for the net". He's played 5 games in the Swedish Elite League this season, but has yet to produce offensively.

This report is from a 9-4 win over Latvia on December 26th, 2011.


OVERALL GRADE

Collberg had the better overall grade thanks to more offensive-output than Forsberg. That said, Forsberg's puck-possession numbers were far better than Collberg's. Collberg scored 1 goal, while adding 2 assists, while Forsberg had 1 assist.



15 16
WINS 40 50 WINS
EVENTS 53 68 EVENTS
GRADE 75 74 GRADE
PLAYER 15 16


OVERALL RISK/REWARD RATING

As mentioned earlier, Forsberg had far better puck-possession numbers. As a result he earned a better overall risk/reward rating than Collberg. Forsberg's best rating was produced in the neutral-zone, as he showed great puck-carrying skills. Collberg's overall rating was the product of his impressive offensive-zone play. Forsberg had an overall ratio of 2.44 successful plays for every 1 mistake or lost puck-battle, while Collberg had an overall ratio of 2.23 successful plays for every 1 mistake or lost puck-battle.

Forsberg was the more involved of the two players; producing 4.37 events per-minute played compared to Collberg's 3.14 events per-minute played.



15 16
POS 29 44 POS
NEG 13 18 NEG
RATIO 2.23 2.44 RATIO
MIN/G 13.39 14.2 MIN/G

15 16
MINUTES 13 14 MINUTES
POS/MIN 2.17 3.10 POS/MIN
NEG/MIN 0.97 1.27 NEG/MIN

15 16
EVENTS/ MIN 3.14 4.37 EVENTS/ MIN
RISK/REWARD 1.19 1.83 RISK/REWARD

15 16



OFFENSIVE-ZONE RISK/REWARD RATING

Collberg had an offensive-zone risk/reward rating of 0.82, to go along with an offensive-zone ratio of 1.92 successful plays for every 1 mistake or lost puck-battle. He lost 4 of 6 o-zone puck-battles, but recovered 8 loose-pucks. He completed 6 of 9 o-zone pass-attempts, while intercepting 3 opposition passes.

Forsberg had an offensive-zone risk/reward rating of 0.14, and an offensive-zone ratio of 1.11 successful plays for every 1 mistake or lost puck-battle. He won 3 of 4 o-zone puck-battles, while recovering 7 loose-pucks. He completed only 4 of his 8 o-zone pass-attempts, and was successful with 9 of 13 attempts to beat opposing players 1on1 (dekes). His o-zone rating was hurt by an inability to get the puck on net, as only 4 of his 10 attempted shots were on net.



15 16
OZ POS 23 20 OZ POS
OZ NEG 12 18 OZ NEG
RATIO 1.92 1.11 RATIO
MIN/G 13.39 14.2 MIN/G

15 16
MINUTES 13 14 MINUTES
POS/MIN 1.72 1.41 POS/MIN
NEG/MIN 0.90 1.27 NEG/MIN

15 16
EVENTS/ MIN 2.61 2.68 EVENTS/ MIN
RISK/REWARD 0.82 0.14 RISK/REWARD

15 16



DEFENSIVE-ZONE RISK/REWARD RATING

Collberg had the better defensive-zone risk/reward rating despite being involved in less d-zone events. He had a defensive-zone risk/reward rating of 0.15, and a defensive-zone ratio of 3 successful plays for every 1 mistake or lost puck-battle. He recovered 2 loose-pucks, while completing 1 of his 2 d-zone pass-attempts.

Forsberg had a defensive-zone risk/reward rating of 0.07 and a d-zone ratio of 1.25 successful plays for every 1 mistake or lost puck-battle. He recovered 3 loose-pucks, and won 1 of 2 d-zone puck-battles. He missed 1 pass in the defensive-zone and was unsuccessful with 2 attempts to beat opposing players 1on1 (dekes) in the defensive-zone.



15 16
DZ POS 3 5 DZ POS
DZ NEG 1 4
RATIO 3 1.25 RATIO
MIN/G 13.39 14.2 MIN/G

15 16
MINUTES 13 14 MINUTES
POS/MIN 0.22 0.35 POS/MIN
NEG/MIN 0.07 0.28 NEG/MIN

15 16
EVENTS/ MIN 0.30 0.63 EVENTS/ MIN
RISK/REWARD 0.15 0.07 RISK/REWARD

15 16



NEUTRAL-ZONE RISK/REWARD RATING

Forsberg had an impressive neutral-zone risk/reward rating of 0.63, to go along with an incredible neutral-zone ratio of 10 successful plays for every 1 mistake or lost puck-battle. He recovered 3 loose-pucks, while completed 3 of 4 n-zone passes. He also successfully dumped the puck deep into the offensive-zone 3 times.

Collberg had a neutral-zone risk/reward rating of 0.07 and a neutral-zone ratio of of 1.50 successful plays for every 1 mistake or lost puck-battle. He recovered 1 loose-puck, lost 1 puck-race and completed his only neutral-zone pass-attempt.



15 16
NZ POS 3 10 NZ POS
NZ NEG 2 1 NZ NEG
RATIO 1.5 10 RATIO
MIN/G 13.39 14.2 MIN/G

15 16
MINUTES 13 14 MINUTES
POS/MIN 0.22 0.70 POS/MIN
NEG/MIN 0.15 0.07 NEG/MIN

15 16
EV/ MIN 0.37 0.77 EV/ MIN
RISK/REWARD 0.07 0.63 RISK/REWARD

15 16



POWERPLAY RISK/REWARD RATING

Collberg was used on the powerplay more often than Forsberg, but Forsberg had the better powerplay risk/reward rating because he was involved in nearly 3 times as many powerplay events per-minute of ice time. That said, Collberg had the better powerplay ratio, as he made 3 successful plays for every 1 mistake or lost puck-battle, while Forsberg had a powerplay ratio of 2 successful plays for every 1 mistake or lost puck-battle.



15 16
POS 6 2 POS
NEG 2 1 NEG
ratio 3 2 ratio
MIN/G 2.14 0.32 MIN/G

15 16
MINUTES 2 0 MINUTES
POS/MIN 2.80 6.25 POS/MIN
NEG/MIN 0.93 3.13 NEG/MIN

15 16
EVENTS/ MIN 3.74 9.38 EVENTS/ MIN
RISK/REWARD 1.87 3.13 RISK/REWARD

15 16