Tuesday, January 17, 2012

Another 1-game scouting report for Filip Forsberg and Sebastian Collberg

Sweden's Filip Forsberg and Sebastian Collberg are both projected first round draft picks in the upcoming 2012 NHL draft. Forsberg is a 6'1", 176 lbs left-winger who mostly plays the right side. Collberg is a 5'11, 174 lbs right-winger who shoots from the right-side. This report is from Sweden's 3-2 shootout win over Finland on January 3rd, 2012.

Forsberg is a great puck-moving forward who has loads of flair. He also has the confidence to make solid plays while carrying the puck through the neutral-zone. He's played 10 games in the Swedish Elite League this season, scoring 1 goal. Collberg is more of an offensive-dynamo, who plays his best in the offensive-zone thanks to an impressive, "nose for the net". He's played 5 games in the Swedish Elite League this season, but has yet to produce offensively.


Both players produced below-average grades in the game scouted. The Swedish coach shortened his bench as the game progressed, keeping the younger forwards on the bench in order to play his older offensive-players.

#15 = COLLBERG
#16 = FORSBERG


OVERALL GRADE


Neither prospect produced any offense, or shots during the game. Forsberg's grade was also hurt by a minus-1 traditional plus/minus rating. As mentioned earlier, ice-time was limited in the game.


15 16
WINS 13 21 WINS
EVENTS 22 38 EVENTS
GRADE 59 55 GRADE
PLAYER 15 16





OVERALL RISK/REWARD RATING


Forsberg was more involved in the play, as he produced nearly twice as many events as Collberg. This is an accurate reflection of the players, as Forsberg is more of a puck-carrier, while Collberg is more of an offensive-specialist with finishing ability.

Collberg had a overall risk/reward rating of 0.43 and an overall ratio of 1.44 successful plays for every 1 mistake or lost puck-battle. As per usual, his best work was done in the offensive-zone. Forsberg had an overall risk/reward rating of 0.57, to go along with an overall ratio of 1.29 successful plays for every 1 mistake or lost puck-battle. Forsberg struggled in all zones; his overall rating was saved by his work on the powerplay.


15 16
POS 13 22 POS
NEG 9 17 NEG
RATIO 1.44 1.29 RATIO
MIN/G 9.2 8.7 MIN/G

15 16
MINUTES 9 9 MINUTES
POS/MIN 1.41 2.53 POS/MIN
NEG/MIN 0.98 1.95 NEG/MIN

15 16
EVENTS/ MIN 2.39 4.48 EVENTS/ MIN
RISK/REWARD 0.43 0.57 RISK/REWARD

15 16




OFFENSIVE-ZONE RISK/REWARD RATING


Collberg had far-and-away the better offensive-zone risk/reward rating. His 0.65 offensive-zone risk/reward rating was well above Forsberg's rating, as was his o-zone ratio of 2.50 successful plays for every 1 mistake or lost puck-battle. Collberg recovered 4 loose-pucks in the offensive-zone, completed both of his attempted passes, and was able to beat opposing players 1on1 (deke) with 2 of his 3 attempts.


Forsberg had a negative offensive-zone risk/reward rating. This is unusual for Forsberg, as he usually demonstrates impressive offensive-flair. His offensive-zone risk/reward rating was -0.23, while his o-zone ratio was 0.83 successful plays for every 1 mistake or lost puck-battle. Expressed differently, these numbers show that Forsberg made more unsuccessful plays than successful plays in the offensive-zone.


15 16
OZ POS 10 10 OZ POS
OZ NEG 4 12 OZ NEG
RATIO 2.50 0.83 RATIO
MIN/G 9.2 8.7 MIN/G

15 16
MINUTES 9 9 MINUTES
POS/MIN 1.09 1.15 POS/MIN
NEG/MIN 0.43 1.38 NEG/MIN

15 16
EVENTS/ MIN 1.52 2.53 EVENTS/ MIN
RISK/REWARD 0.65 -0.23 RISK/REWARD

15 16



DEFENSIVE-ZONE RISK/REWARD RATING


Forsberg had a defensive-zone risk/reward rating of 0.23, and a d-zone ratio of 1.6 successful plays for every 1 mistake or lost puck-battle. He lost his only d-zone puck-battle, and completed 2 of 3 d-zone pass-attempts. He also beat 2 opposing players 1on1 (deke).


Collberg had a defensive-zone risk/reward rating of -0.11 and a d-zone ratio of 0.50. Expressed differently, this shows that Collberg made more unsuccessful than successful plays for his team in the defensive-zone.


15 16
DZ POS 1 5 DZ POS
DZ NEG 2 3 DZ NEG
RATIO 0.50 1.67 RATIO
MIN/G 9.2 8.7 MIN/G

15 16
MINUTES 9 9 MINUTES
POS/MIN 0.11 0.57 POS/MIN
NEG/MIN 0.22 0.34 NEG/MIN

15 16
EVENTS/ MIN 0.33 0.92 EVENTS/ MIN
RISK/REWARD -0.11 0.23 RISK/REWARD

15 16




NEUTRAL-ZONE RISK/REWARD RATING


Both players struggled in the neutral-zone. Collberg had a neutral-zone risk/reward rating of -0.22 and a neutral-zone ratio of 0.5 successful plays for every 1 mistake or lost puck-battle. He lost his only n-zone puck-battle and wasn't able to complete his only pass-attempt.


Forsberg had a neutral-zone risk/reward rating of -0.23 and a neutral-zone ratio of .033 successful plays for every 1 mistake or lost puck-battle. He lost his only n-zone puck-battle. These numbers show that both prospects made more unsuccessful than successful plays in the neutral-zone.


15 16
NZ POS 2 1 NZ POS
NZ NEG 4 3 NZ NEG
RATIO 0.50 0.33 RATIO
MIN/G 9.2 8.7 MIN/G

15 16
MINUTES 9 9 MINUTES
POS/MIN 0.22 0.11 POS/MIN
NEG/MIN 0.43 0.34 NEG/MIN

15 16
EV/ MIN 0.65 0.46 EV/ MIN
RISK/REWARD -0.22 -0.23 RISK/REWARD

15 16




POWERPLAY RISK/REWARD RATING


Both players were used on the powerplay, although neither were used on the penalty-kill.


Forsberg had an impressive powerplay risk/reward rating of 6.67 to go along with a PP ratio of 5 successful plays for every 1 mistake or lost puck-battle. He won his only PP puck-battle, recovered 3 loose-pucks and completed all 3 of his attempted passes. He carried the powerplay while on the ice, producing an amazing 10 events per minute of powerplay ice-time.


Collberg had a PP risk/reward rating of 1.67. All his PP events were successful, as he recovered 1 loose-puck, and beat an opposing player 1on1 (deke).


15 16
POS 2 10 POS
NEG 0 2 NEG
RATIO N/A 5 RATIO
MIN/G 1.2 1.2 MIN/G

15 16
MINUTES 1 1 MINUTES
POS/MIN 1.67 8.33 POS/MIN
NEG/MIN 0.00 1.67 NEG/MIN

15 16
EVENTS/ MIN 1.67 10.00 EVENTS/ MIN
RISK/REWARD 1.67 6.67 RISK/REWARD

15 16

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