Monday, April 30, 2012

One-game Scouring Report for Jonathan Quick and Brian Elliott


From game 1 of the 2012 second-round series between the Los Angeles Kings and St. Louis Blues
Game 1 saw the Los Angeles Kings defeated the St. Louis Blues 2-1. Jonathan Quick combined multiple big saves, solid rebound placement and a high save-percentage to produce an above-average goaltending rating of 2.16. Brian Elliot struggled with his rebound control, earning him his first below-average rating of the playoffs.

The 6'1", 214 lbs Quick finished the regular season with a  31-14-8 record, a 2.41 goals against average, and a .919 save percentage. He has a career save percentage of .916 during the regular season, and .901 during the playoffs.

The 6'3", 204 lbs. Elliot finished the regular season with a 23-10-4 record, a 1.56 goals against average, and a .940 save percentage. He has a career save percentage of .909 during the regular season, and .892 during the playoffs.

My scouting reports for goalies focus on their ability to make saves, make big saves, control rebounds, and maintain good balance. The results of these attributes are added together to produce the goaltender's rating. The highest possible rating is 4.00, while the lowest possible rating is 0.00. The higher the value the better a goalie has played.

The first number involved in the calculation is the percentage of saves a goalie makes without giving up a rebound. For example, if a goalie makes 10 saves and gives up only 1 rebound his "no rebound percentage" is .900. Again, the higher the number, the better a goalie performs.


The next number in the calculation is the percentage of safe rebounds a goalie gives up for each rebound allowed. Rebounds deflected outside of the main slot are considered safe. As such, a safe rebound is defined as a rebound outside of an imaginary line drawn from each goalpost to the corresponding board-side hash mark. As an example of this calculation, if a goalie gives up 10 rebounds and deflects 9 of those pucks outside the slot, his "safe rebound percentage" is .900. Again, the higher the number, the better a goalie performs.


The next number is the percentage of saves that would be considered "big saves". A big save is defined as any save made on a play that would be considered a traditional scoring chance. As an example of this calculation, if a goalie makes 5 big saves on 20 shots his "big save percentage" would be .250. Once again, the higher the number, the better a goalie performs.


I also track how a goalie controls the puck. I do this by tracking his successful or unsuccessful pass-attempts, as well as his successful or unsuccessful attempts to dump the puck out of his zone. The resulting numbers are used to produce a ratio of successful plays for every 1 unsuccessful play.



SHORT-HANDED GOALTENDING RATING

Quick had an impressive short-handed rating of 2.50. He stopped all 4 shots he faced, and produced rebounds from 3 of those saves. None of these rebounds landed in the slot, and he made 1 short-handed save on a St. Louis scoring chance.

Elliott had a below-average short-handed rating of 1.70, as he stuggled with his rebound control. He stopped all 8 shots he faced, but allowed 5 rebounds; four of which landed in the slot. One of his 8 saves came on a Los Angeles scoring chance. 

QUICK
32
1
ELLIOTT
O REBOUND %
0.250
0.375
O REBOUND %
SAFE REBOUND %
1.000
0.200
SAFE REBOUND %
BIG SAVE%
0.250
0.125
BIG SAVE%
SAVE %
1.000
1.000
SAVE %

32
1

SUCCESSFUL PUCK PLAYS
0
0
SUCCESSFUL PUCK PLAYS
UNSUCCESSFUL PUCK PLAYS
0
0
UNSUCCESSFUL PUCK PLAYS
PUCK PLAYS RATIO
N/A
N/A
PUCK PLAYS RATIO

32
1

GOALTENDER RATING
2.50
1.70
GOALTENDER RATING

32
1



OVERALL GOALTENDING RATING

Quick's even-strength play actually lowered his oveall rating. That said, he still hung on for a substantially above average rating. He stopped 28 of 29 saves, and allowed rebounds from 21 of those 28 saves. He did a great job controlling the placement of his rebounds, as only 8 of those 21 rebounds landed in the slot. He also made an impressive 9 saves on St. Louis scoring chances.

Quick was successful with all 3 of his pass-attempts. 

Elliott's even-strength play improved his overall rating to 1.82. His save-percentage helped his rating, while his rebound control was below-average. He stopped 26 of 28 shots, and allowed 17 rebounds. Eleven of those 17 rebounds landed in the slot, and he made 6 saves on Los Angeles scoring chances.

Elliott was successful with 2 of 5 pass-attempts, as well as his only attempt to dump the puck out of the defensive-zone. This gave him a puck-handling ratio of 1 successful play for every 1 unsuccessful play. 

QUICK
32
1
ELLIOTT
O REBOUND %
0.250
0.346
O REBOUND %
SAFE REBOUND %
0.619
0.353
SAFE REBOUND %
BIG SAVE%
0.321
0.192
BIG SAVE%
SAVE %
0.966
0.929
SAVE %

32
1

SUCCESSFUL PUCK PLAYS
3
3
SUCCESSFUL PUCK PLAYS
UNSUCCESSFUL PUCK PLAYS
0
3
UNSUCCESSFUL PUCK PLAYS
PUCK PLAYS RATIO
N/A
1.00
PUCK PLAYS RATIO

32
1

GOALTENDER RATING
2.16
1.82
GOALTENDER RATING

32
1

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