This is the fourth in a series of graphs focusing on some of the 2012 NHL Draft-eligible prospects I had the pleasure of viewing multiple times.
This graph is a visual representation of the even-strength risk/reward rating produced by these draft-eligible players. The higher the number the better these players performed during the game. Risk/reward rating is an expression of how many more successful plays a player makes than unsuccessful plays during each minute of ice-time. Players can improve their rating by both being successful and engaging in the play.
It is important to indicate when and where the games were played in order to establish the level of competition. Obviously, the numbers earned during an Under-18 tournament should be different than those earned during a World Junior Championship.
These players are in no specific order. Only those players with multiple one-game scouting reports using my player tracking system were included in the graph.
FORWARDS
Nail Yakupov was scouted 7 times. Six of those games were played during the 2012 World Junior Championship, while the other was an OHL game. Yakupov produced a marginally above-average risk/reward rating of 1.22. That said, it's important to remember that 6 of these games scouted were played at the WJHC; the highest level of competition available to a player his age.
Mikhail Grigorenko was scouted 7 times. Five of those are from the World Junior Championship, and one was from the QMJHL. The other game scouted was the 2012 CHL Top Prospects game. Despite injuries and illness, Grigorenko still managed to produce an above-average even-strength rating. It is also important to mention that 5 of the games scouted took place at the WJHC.
Filip Forsberg was scouted 5 times. Four of those games are from the World Junior Championship, while the other game took place during the World Under-18 Championship. Forsberg produced a below-average risk/reward rating of 0.69. He earned two negative risk/reward ratings during the WJHC. Expressed simply, this means that he made more unsuccessful than successful plays during those two games. His best rating came at the Under-18 Championship.
Tanner Pearson was scouted 4 times. Three of those games are from the World Junior Championship, while the other was the CHL Top Prospects game. Pearson produced the third-highest rating among forwards included here. He's an older player, who played well against the best players in the world during the WJHC. His best rating was an incredible 2.25 he earned at the Top Prospects game.
Radek Faksa was scouted 6 times. Four of those games are from the World Junior Championship, and one is from the OHL playoffs. The other game scouted was the CHL Top Prospects game. Faksa had an above-average rating of 1.18. Two of his best one-game ratings were produced during the WJHC.
Sebastian Collberg was scouted 5 times. Four of those games are from the World Junior Championship, while the other game took place during the World Under-18 Championship. Collberg earned the lowest risk/reward rating of the players included in this profile. His lowest rating was a 0.00 he earned during an Under-18 game.
Tomas Hertl was scouted 4 times. All 4 games took place at the World Junior Championship. Hertl produced a well-above average risk/reward rating of 1.63. His top rating was an incredible 2.73 he produced during a WJHC game.
Martin Frk was scouted 3 times. Two of those games are from the QMJHL, while the other is the CHL Top Prospects game. Frk produced an above average even-strength risk/reward rating during the games scouted. His top one-game rating was a 1.92 earned at the Top Prospects game.
Tomas Hyka was scouted 4 times. Three of those games are from the World Junior Championship, while the other is the CHL Top Prospects game. Hyka earned the highest even-strength risk/reward among the forwards included here. His highest one-game risk/reward rating was earned at the World Junior Championship.
Brendan Gaunce was scouted 3 times. One of those games was the CHL Top Prospects game, one was from the World Under-18 Championship, while the other was from the OHL. Gaunce produced a below-average even-strength risk/reward rating. His highest one-game rating was earned at the Under-18 Championship.
Scott Laughton was scouted twice. One of those games is from the CHL Top Prospects, while the other is from the World Under-18 Championship. Laughton earned an above-average ES grade during the games scouted. His best one-game rating was produced at the Under-18 Championship
Gemel Smith was scouted twice. One of those games is from the CHL top Prospects, while the other is from the World Under-18 Championship. Smith produced a below-average even-strength rating. His top rating was earned at the CHL Top Prospects game.
DEFENSEMEN
Ryan Murray was scouted 4 times. Three of those games are from the World Junior Championship, while the other is from the CHL Top Prospects game. Murray produced a below-average risk/reward rating against strong competition. His rating was hurt by low event totals in relation to minutes played. That said, it is still a solid rating against impressive competition.
Matt Dumba was scouted 3 times. Two of the games are from the World Under-18 Championship, and the other is from the CHL Top Prospects game. Dumba produced an impressive even-strength rating of 1.55. His top one-game rating was a 2.15 he earned during an Under-18 game.
Jacob Trouba was scouted 5 times. Three of those games are from the World Junior Hockey Championship, while 2 others are from the Under-18 Championship. Trouba produced an above-average rating while playing against players both in his age-group, and substantially older. His top one-game rating was an incredible 2.89 he earned at the WJHC.
Griffin Reinhart was scouted 3 times. Two of those games took place during the 2012 Memorial Cup, while the other is from the CHL Top Prospects game. Reinhart had an average risk/reward rating. His best one-game rating was the 1.89 he earned during the CHL Top Prospects game.
Ville Pokka was scouted twice. Once during the WJHC, and once during the World Under-18 Championship. Pokka produced the lowest even-strength rating among defensemen included here. His average was hurt by some difficulty during the World Junior Championship.
Olli Maata was scouted 4 times. Once during the WJHC, and 3 times during the Memorial Cup. Maata produced an impressive above-average risk/reward rating. It is important to remember that Maata's performance is particularly impressive considering the high-level of competition at both the WJHC and Memorial Cup.
Cody Ceci was scouted twice. Both games are from the OHL playoffs. Ceci had the highest even-strength rating among players included here. His top one-game rating was an impressive 2.21.
Adam Pelech was scouted 3 times. Twice during the Under-18 Championship, and once during the CHL Top Prospects game. Pelech produced an above-average risk/reward rating of 1.45. His best rating was produced at the Under-18 Championship.
Connor Carrick was scouted twice. He is only ranked 124th by Central Scouting, but his numbers intrigued me enough to include him here. Both games scouted are from the World Under-18 Championship. Carrick had the second-best rating of any player included here.
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