Monday, September 3, 2012

HABS: Breaking down each Canadiens player's neutral-zone tendencies

Who's more likely to pass?
Who's more likely to dump the puck in?
Who's more likely to deke?

Continuing with the process of breaking down each Montreal Canadiens player's performance, this post will focus on each player's tendency when in possession of the puck in the NEUTRAL-ZONE.  I do this by calculating how many dump-ins, passes, or dekes each player attempted per-minute of ice-time. I then divide the total attempts at each option (pass, deke, or dump-in) by the total amount of events. The higher the number, the more often that player chose that particular option.

It is important to differentiate between attempted neutral-zone events, and completed neutral-zone events. This post focuses on attempted, which includes both failed and successful attempts within each specific play (pass, deke, or dump-in).

Click here to view each player's tendency with possession in the offensive-zone.


*There were 7,972 individual events used to produce these results*


*These numbers were generated over all 82 Montreal Canadiens games during the 2011-12 season*

 
*I have tracked every play by every Montreal Canadiens player since December, 2010*



ATTEMPTED NEUTRAL-ZONE PUCK-POSSESSION EVENTS PER-MINUTE




FORWARDS 


SCOTT GOMEZ's number 1 tendency was to PASS, which he attempted 50% of the time he had possession of the puck in the neutral-zone. Eleven percent of the time he would attempt a deke, while 39% of the time he would elect to dump the puck deep into the offensive-zone. He made a successful pass, deke or dump-in 73% of the time he had possession of the puck in the neutral-zone, and was one of only four forwards who were more likely to pass than dump the puck in.



TOMAS PLEKANEC's number 1 tendency was to DUMP THE PUCK IN, which he attempted 46% of the time he had possession of the puck in the neutral-zone. Ten percent of the time he would attempt a deke, while 44 % of the time he would attempt a pass. He made a successful pass, deke or dump-in 75% of the time he had possession of the puck in the neutral-zone.


PETTERI NOKELAINEN's number 1 tendency was to DUMP THE PUCK IN, which he attempted 54% of the time he had possession of the puck in the neutral-zone. Eighteen percent of the time he would attempt a deke, while 28 % of the time he would attempt a pass. He made a successful pass, deke or dump-in 60% of the time he had possession of the puck in the neutral-zone, and was the third least-likely player to pass the puck in the neutral-zone.



BRIAN GIONTA's number 1 tendency was to DUMP THE PUCK IN, which he attempted 52% of the time he had possession of the puck in the neutral-zone. Eight percent of the time he would attempt a deke, while 40 % of the time he would attempt a pass. He made a successful pass, deke or dump-in 69% of the time he had possession of the puck in the neutral-zone.



RENE BOURQUE's number 1 tendency was to DUMP THE PUCK IN, which he attempted 58% of the time he had possession of the puck in the neutral-zone. Eight percent of the time he would attempt a deke, while 34 % of the time he would attempt a pass. He made a successful pass, deke or dump-in 63% of the time he had possession of the puck in the neutral-zone, and was the sixth most-likely forward to dump the puck in.



TRAVIS MOEN's number 1 tendency was to DUMP THE PUCK IN, which he attempted 58% of the time he had possession of the puck in the neutral-zone. Seven percent of the time he would attempt a deke, while 35 % of the time he would attempt a pass. He made a successful pass, deke or dump-in 68% of the time he had possession of the puck in the neutral-zone, and was also the sixth most-likely forward to dump the puck in.



GABRIEL DUMONT's number 1 tendency was to DUMP THE PUCK IN, which he attempted 56% of the time he had possession of the puck in the neutral-zone. He did not attempt any dekes, while 44% of the time he would elect to pass. He made a successful pass, deke or dump-in 73% of the time he had possession of the puck in the neutral-zone, and was the only player with zero neutral-zone deke attempts.



MICHAEL BLUNDEN's number 1 tendency was to DUMP THE PUCK IN, which he attempted 75% of the time he had possession of the puck in the neutral-zone. Six percent of the time he would attempt a deke, while 19% of the time he would attempt a pass. He made a successful pass, deke or dump-in 68% of the time he had possession of the puck in the neutral-zone, and was more likely than any other player to dump the puck in.



DAVID DESHARNAIS' number 1 tendency was to PASS, which he attempted 54% of the time he had possession of the puck in the neutral-zone. Fifteen percent of the time he would attempt a deke, while 31% of the time he would attempt to dump the puck deep into the offensive-zone. He made a successful pass, deke or dump-in 66% of the time he had possession of the puck in the neutral-zone, and was the least-likely player to dump the puck in.



RYAN WHITE's number 1 tendency was to DUMP THE PUCK IN, which he attempted 58% of the time he had possession of the puck in the neutral-zone. Five percent of the time he would attempt a deke, while 37% of the time he would attempt a pass. He made a successful pass, deke or dump-in 74% of the time he had possession of the puck in the neutral-zone, and was also the sixth most-likely forward to dump the puck in.


BLAKE GEOFFRION's number 1 tendency was to DUMP THE PUCK IN, which he attempted 61% of the time he had possession of the puck in the neutral-zone. Two percent of the time he would attempt a deke, while 36% of the time he would attempt a pass. He made a successful pass, deke or dump-in 71% of the time he had possession of the puck in the neutral-zone, and was the third most-likely player to dump the puck in.


AARON PALUSHAJ's number 1 tendency was to PASS, which he attempted 47% of the time he had possession of the puck in the neutral-zone. Eleven percent of the time he would attempt a deke, while 42% of the time he would attempt to dump the puck deep into the offensive-zone. He made a successful pass, deke or dump-in 66% of the time he had possession of the puck in the neutral-zone, and was the fourth least-likely forward to dump the puck in. 



MAX PACIORETTY's number 1 tendency was to DUMP THE PUCK IN, which he attempted 56% of the time he had possession of the puck in the neutral-zone. Eight percent of the time he would attempt a deke, while 36% of the time he would attempt a pass. He made a successful pass, deke or dump-in 68% of the time he had possession of the puck in the neutral-zone, and was the seventh least-likely player to pass the puck in the neutral-zone.


LOUIS LEBLANC's number 1 tendency was to DUMP THE PUCK IN, which he attempted 59% of the time he had possession of the puck in the neutral-zone. Nine percent of the time he would attempt a deke, while 32% of the time he would attempt a pass. He made a successful pass, deke or dump-in 63% of the time he had possession of the puck in the neutral-zone, and was the fourth most-likely forward to dump the puck in.



ERIK COLE's number 1 tendency was to DUMP THE PUCK IN, which he attempted 50% of the time he had possession of the puck in the neutral-zone. Nineteen percent of the time he would attempt a deke, while 31% of the time he would attempt a pass. He made a successful pass, deke or dump-in 63% of the time he had possession of the puck in the neutral-zone, and was more likely than any player to attempt a neutral-zone deke.


LARS ELLER's number 1 tendency was to PASS, which he attempted 43% of the time he had possession of the puck in the neutral-zone. Sixteen percent of the time he would attempt a deke, while 41% of the time he would attempt a shot. He made a successful pass, deke or dump-in 64% of the time he had possession of the puck in the neutral-zone, and was the third least-likely forward to dump the puck in. He was also the third most-likely forward to attempt a neutral-zone deke.




DEFENSEMEN


TOMAS KABERLE's number 1 tendency was to PASS, which he attempted 61% of the time he had possession of the puck in the neutral-zone. Four percent of the time he would attempt a deke, while 36% of the time he would attempt to dump the puck deep into the offensive-zone. He made a successful pass, deke or dump-in 78% of the time he had possession of the puck in the neutral-zone, and was the least-likely defensemen to dump the puck in.



JOSH GORGES' number 1 tendency was to DUMP THE PUCK IN which he attempted 50% of the time he had possession of the puck in the neutral-zone. One percent of the time he would attempt a deke, while 49% of the time he would attempt a pass. He made a successful pass, deke or dump-in 81% of the time he had possession of the puck in the neutral-zone, and was more likely than any other defenseman to dump the puck in.


RAPHAEL DIAZ's number 1 tendency was to PASS, which he attempted 56% of the time he had possession of the puck in the neutral-zone. Five percent of the time he would attempt a deke, while 39% of the time he would attempt to dump the puck deep into the offensive-zone. He made a successful pass, deke or dump-in 73% of the time he had possession of the puck in the neutral-zone.



FREDERICK ST. DENIS' number 1 tendency was to PASS, which he attempted 62% of the time he had possession of the puck in the neutral-zone. Three percent of the time he would attempt a deke, while 36% of the time he would attempt to dump the puck deep into the offensive-zone. He made a successful pass, deke or dump-in 72% of the time he had possession of the puck in the neutral-zone, and was the third least-likely defenseman to dump the puck in.



YANNICK WEBER's number 1 tendency was to DUMP THE PUCK IN, which he attempted 49% of the time he had possession of the puck in the neutral-zone. Seven percent of the time he would attempt a deke, while 44% of the time he would attempt a pass. He made a successful pass, deke or dump-in 73% of the time he had possession of the puck in the neutral-zone.



ALEXEI EMELIN's number 1 tendency was to PASS, which he attempted 54% of the time he had possession of the puck in the neutral-zone. Three percent of the time he would attempt a deke, while 43% of the time he would attempt to dump the puck deep into the offensive-zone. He made a successful pass, deke or dump-in 72% of the time he had possession of the puck in the neutral-zone.



PK SUBBAN's number 1 tendency was to PASS, which he attempted 45% of the time he had possession of the puck in the neutral-zone.Sixteen percent of the time he would attempt a deke, while 40% of the time he would to dump the puck deep into the offensive-zone. He made a successful pass, deke or dump-in 79% of the time he had possession of the puck in the neutral-zone, and (excluding Campoli) he was twice as likely as any other defenseman to attempt a neutral-zone deke.



ANDREI MARKOV's number 1 tendency was to PASS, which he attempted 54% of the time he had possession of the puck in the neutral-zone. Five percent of the time he would attempt a deke, while 40% of the time he would attempt to dump the puck deep into the offensive-zone. He made a successful pass, deke or dump-in 74% of the time he had possession of the puck in the neutral-zone.


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