Boucher Scouting: Lars Eller 2011-12

Stats and rankings for the 2011-12 season

Total events tracked for Eller: 4,431
Total even-strength minutes played: 1,026.2

BELOW THE STATS AND RANKINGS I HAVE ALSO INCLUDED EACH PLAYER'S GAME BY GAME POSSESSION AND DEFENSIVE RATING, AS WELL AS THE IMPACT THEIR PERFORMANCE HAD ON THE TEAM'S WINNING-PERCENTAGE.

BELOW THAT IS HIS GAME BY GAME EVEN-STRENGTH, SHORT-HANDED, AND POWERPLAY ICE-TIME (GREEN INDICATES WIN, RED INDICATES LOSS)

OFFENSIVE-ZONE TENDENCIES
NEUTRAL-ZONE TENDENCIES
DEFENSIVE-ZONE TENDENCIES
POWERPLAY TENDENCIES
QUANTIFIED SHORT-HANDED CONTRIBUTION

The charts below represent Lars Eller's statistics during the 2011-12 season. The first chart reflects his play in the offensive-zone, while the second chart represents his play in the defensive-zone.

The first column within each chart lists each category. The second column indicates his rating/ratio/success-rate/event per-minute within that category. The third column is the team average, while the fourth through sixth columns show his ranking among teammates. The first ranking is where he raked among all 24 of his returning teammates, the second ranking is versus 16 returning forwards, and the final ranking is versus the 5 returning centremen (Gomez, Plekanec, Eller, Nokelainen, Desharnais).

OFFENSIVE-ZONE

Where Eller ranked number 1 among fellow centremen:

Offensive-zone risk/reward rating
Offensive-zone loose-puck recoveries per-minute
Forechecking success-rate
Attempted o-zone dekes per-minute
Completed o-zone dekes per-minute

Where Eller ranked low (4th or 5th) among fellow centremen:

Intercepted offensive-zone passes per-minute
Success-rate getting shots through to the net

OFFENSIVE-ZONE (EVEN-STRENGTH)	#	TEAM AVG.	RANK	RANK (FWDS)	RANK (C)

OFFENSIVE-ZONE RISK/REWARD RATING	0.48	0.30	2	2	1
OFFENSIVE-ZONE RATIO (SUCCESSFUL TO UNSUCCESSFUL PLAYS)	1.69	1.64	9	5	2
OFFENSIVE-ZONE LOOSE-PUCK RECOVERIES PER-MINUTE	0.35	0.25	4	1	1
OFFENSIVE-ZONE PUCK-BATTLE WINNING-PERCENTAGE	51.1%	49.8%	10	7	2
OFFENSIVE-ZONE EVENTS PER-MINUTE PLAYED	1.87	1.24	3	3	2
FORECHECKING SUCCESS-RATE	71.4%	71.1%	11	5	1
INTERCEPTED OPPOSITION PASSES PER-MINUTE (O-ZONE)	0.059	0.062	11	11	4

SUCCESSFUL O-ZONE PUCK POSSESSION PLAYS PER MINUTE	0.63	0.42	3	3	2
O-ZONE PUCK-POSSESSION SUCCESS-RATE	58.6%	56.6%	8	5	3

ATTEMPTED O-ZONE PASSES PER-MINUTE	0.56	0.40	3	3	2
SUCCESSFUL O-ZONE PASSES PER-MINUTE	0.34	0.24	3	3	2
O-ZONE PASSING SUCCESS-RATE	60.2%	60.7%	15	7	2

ATTEMPTED O-ZONE DEKES PER-MINUTE	0.27	0.13	2	2	1
SUCCESSFUL O-ZONE DEKES PER-MINUTE	0.17	0.07	1	1	1
O-ZONE DEKE SUCCESS-RATE	63.7%	56.1%	5	2	2

ATTEMPTED SHOTS PER-MINUTE	0.25	0.21	7	7	1
SHOTS THROUGH TO THE NET PER-MINUTE	0.12	0.10	8	8	2
SHOTS THROUGH SUCCESS-RATE	49.4%	49.1%	12	11	4
TRUE SHOOTING-PERCENTAGE (GOALS / ATTEMPTED SHOTS)	4.7%	3.7%	7	7	2
AVERAGE RANKING			7	5	2

DEFENSIVE-ZONE

Where Eller ranked number 1 among fellow centremen:

Defensive-zone risk/reward rating
Defensive-zone ratio of successful plays made for each unsuccessful play made
Defensive-zone loose-puck recoveries
Defensive-zone puck-battle winning percentage
Defensive-zone events per-minute played
Defensive success-rate in defensive-zone (events to remove/acquire puck-possession from opposition)
Blocked shots per-minute played
Successful d-zone possession plays per-minute
Defensive-zone puck-possession success-rate
Attempted d-zone dekes per-minute
Successful d-zone dekes per-minute
Success-rate when attempting defensive-zone dekes

Where Eller ranked low (4th or 5th) among fellow centremen:

NONE

The statistics easily quantify Eller as the Habs best defensive-centre.

DEFENSIVE-ZONE (EVEN-STRENGTH)	#	TEAM AVG.	RANK	RANK (FORWARDS)	RANK (CENTRES)

DEFENSIVE-ZONE RISK/REWARD RATING	0.67	0.60	8	1	1
DEFENSIVE-ZONE RATIO (SUCCESSFUL TO UNSUCCESSFUL PLAYS)	2.41	2.12	5	1	1
DEFENSIVE-ZONE LOOSE-PUCK RECOVERIES PER-MINUTE	0.37	0.32	7	1	1
DEFENSIVE-ZONE PUCK-BATTLE WINNING-PERCENTAGE	59.2%	53.1%	4	2	1
DEFENSIVE-ZONE EVENTS PER-MINUTE PLAYED	1.63	1.68	9	1	1
DEFENDING IN D-ZONE SUCCESS-RATE	72.9%	68.3%	2	2	1
INTERCEPTED OPPOSITION PASSES PER-MINUTE (D-ZONE)	0.084	0.086	9	2	2
BLOCKED SHOTS PER-MINUTE (D-ZONE)	0.057	0.065	8	1	1

SUCCESSFUL D-ZONE PUCK POSSESSION PLAYS PER MINUTE	0.48	0.55	9	1	1
D-ZONE PUCK-POSSESSION SUCCESS-RATE	67.8%	67.5%	4	1	1

ATTEMPTED D-ZONE PASSES PER-MINUTE	0.46	0.64	8	2	2
SUCCESSFUL D-ZONE PASSES PER-MINUTE	0.34	0.19	9	2	2
D-ZONE PASSING SUCCESS-RATE	73.9%	70.7%	5	5	2

ATTEMPTED D-ZONE DEKES PER-MINUTE	0.10	0.05	2	1	1
SUCCESSFUL D-ZONE DEKES PER-MINUTE	0.06	0.03	2	1	1
D-ZONE DEKE SUCCESS-RATE	64.4%	57.0%	5	1	1

ATTEMPTED DUMP-OUTS PER-MINUTE	0.11	0.11	9	7	2
DUMP-OUTS PER-MINUTE	0.07	0.07	12	9	2
DUMP-OUTS SUCCESS-RATE	62.1%	65.0%	17	10	3
AVERAGE RANKING			7	3	1

The Montreal Canadiens ended the season with a .378 winning-percentage. Lars Eller played in 79 of the 82 games. With Eller in the line-up, Montreal's record was 30-49, for a .380 winning-percentage.

OFFENSIVE-ZONE POSSESSION SUCCESS-RATE BY GAME

A player's offensive-zone puck-possession success-rate is calculated by dividing the number of successful passes, dekes, and shots that hit the net by the total number of attempted shots, dekes and passes.

Eller had an offensive-zone possession success-rate of at least 70% in 14 games. In those games the Canadiens had a 7-7 record, and a .500 winning-percentage. In games where Eller's o-zone possession rating was below 60%, the Habs winning-percentage was .366.

NEUTRAL-ZONE POSSESSION SUCCESS-RATE BY GAME

A player's neutral-zone puck-possession success-rate is calculated by dividing the number of successful passes, dekes, and dump-ins by the total number of attempted passes, dekes and dump-ins.

Eller had a neutral-zone possession success-rate of 80% in 18 games. In those games the Canadiens had a 9-9 record, and a winning-percentage of .500. When Eller's n-zone possession success-rate fell below 60%, Montreal's winning-percentage fell to .385.

DEFENSIVE-ZONE POSSESSION SUCCESS-RATE BY GAME

A player's defensive-zone puck-possession success-rate is calculated by dividing the number of successful passes, dekes, and dump-outs by the total number of attempted shots, dekes and dump-outs.

Eller had a defensive-zone possession success-rate above 70% in 35 games. In those games the Canadiens had an 8-27 record, and a winning-percentage of only .229. Surprisingly, in games where Eller's d-zone possession rating dropped below 70%, the Habs winning-percentage was .474.

OFFENSIVE-ZONE DEFENSIVE SUCCESS-RATE BY GAME

A player's offensive-zone defensive success-rate is calculated by dividing the number of successful puck-battles, loose-puck recoveries, and intercepted opposition passes by the total number of puck-battles, loose-puck recovery attempts, and opportunities to intercept opposition passes.

Eller had an offensive-zone defensive success-rate of 80% in 24 games. In those games the Canadiens had a 9-15 record, and a winning-percentage of .360. In games where Eller's o-zone defensive rating dropped below 80%, the Habs winning-percentage was .400.

NEUTRAL-ZONE DEFENSIVE SUCCESS-RATE BY GAME

A player's neutral-zone defensive success-rate is calculated by dividing the number of successful puck-battles, loose-puck recoveries, and intercepted opposition passes by the total number of puck-battles, loose-puck recovery attempts, and opportunities to intercept opposition passes.

Eller had a neutral-zone defensive success-rate of 100% in 28 games. In those games the Canadiens had a 15-13 record, and a winning-percentage of .536. When Eller's success-rate fell below 70%, the Habs winning-percentage was .345.

DEFENSIVE-ZONE DEFENSIVE SUCCESS-RATE BY GAME

A player's defensive-zone defensive success-rate is calculated by dividing the number of successful puck-battles, loose-puck recoveries, intercepted opposition passes, and blocked shots by the total number of puck-battles, loose-puck recovery attempts, opportunities to intercept opposition passes, and opportunities to block shots.

Eller had a defensive-zone defensive success-rate above 80% in 20 games. In those games the Canadiens had a 9-11 record, and a winning-percentage of .450. In games Eller's d-zone defensive rating dropped below 70%, the Habs winning-percentage was .357.

Eller's possession success-rates in the offensive and neutral-zones seem to have the biggest impact on the Canadiens' won/lost record. A drop in 10% on Eller's offensive-zone possession success-rate moved the Habs winning-percentage from .500 to .366. A 20% drop in his neutral-zone possession success-rate dropped the Habs winning-percentage from .500 to .328.

Also, a 30% drop in Eller's defensive success-rate in the neutral-zone saw the Habs' winning-percentage move from .536 to .345.

EVEN-STRENGTH ICE-TIME

The Habs were 20-32 (.385) when Eller played more than 12 even-strength minutes. When he played less than 12 ES minutes in a game, Montreal was 10-17 (.370). The Canadiens were 9-9 (.500) when Eller played between 10 and 12 minutes per-game at even-strength.