THE PLAYER DATA SPECIALIST
MTL 2011-12
- What is Boucher Scouting?
- GOALIE REPORTS
- HABS PROSPECTS
- HABS 2011-12
- HABS 2010-11
- 2012 DRAFT
- ARMSTRONG 2012-13
- BEAULIEU (AHL)
- BOURNIVAL (AHL)
- BOURQUE 2012-13
- DESHARNAIS 2012-13
- DIAZ
- ELLER 2012-13
- EMELIN
- GALCHENYUK 2012-13
- GALLAGHER 2012-13
- GIONTA 2012-13
- GORGES 2012-13
- KABERLE
- LEBLANC 2011-12
- LEBLANC (AHL)
- MARKOV 2012-13
- MOEN
- NATTINEN (AHL)
- PACIORETTY
- PLEKANEC 2012-13
- PRUST 2012-13
- RYDER 2012-13
- QUAILER (AHL)
- SUBBAN 2012-13
- TINORDI (AHL)
- WEBER
- WHITE
Saturday, June 30, 2012
HABS PROSPECTS: Passing Success-rates in Each Zone
The below graph is a visual representation of each player's passing success-rate in each zone.
HABS PROSPECTS: Success-rates when Attempting to Maintain Puck-possession
The graph below is a visual representation of how successful each
Montreal Canadiens player is at maintaining puck-possession for his
team. Events involved in this calculation include passes, dekes and
shots. In other words, the percentage represents how often a player is
able to engage in an event and either get a shot on net, or maintain
puck-possession for his team.
HABS PROSPECTS: Defensive-ratings
Individual success-rates when attempting to remove or obtain puck-possession from the opposition
At its simplest form, the goal of any skater in a defensive-situation is to remove or obtain puck-possession from the opposition. By tracking every puck-possession event during a game, I am able to break down each player's success-rate when attempting to remove or obtain puck-possession from the opposition. Events involved in this calculation include puck-battles, blocked passes, blocked shots, poke-checks, loose-puck recoveries, etc.
At its simplest form, the goal of any skater in a defensive-situation is to remove or obtain puck-possession from the opposition. By tracking every puck-possession event during a game, I am able to break down each player's success-rate when attempting to remove or obtain puck-possession from the opposition. Events involved in this calculation include puck-battles, blocked passes, blocked shots, poke-checks, loose-puck recoveries, etc.
HABS PROSPECTS: Defensive-zone Risk/reward Rating
Ratios are basic expressions of how well players perform. It is simply a
measurement of how many successful puck-possession plays a player makes
for every 1 unsuccessful puck-possession play. A successful or
unsuccessful event could be anything from a completed pass to a lost
puck-battle. Simply put, the higher a player's ratio, the more that
player helps his team maintain or acquire possession of the puck.
Defensive-zone risk/reward rating is calculated by subtracting the total number of unsuccessful plays a player makes per-minute of ice-time from the total number of successful plays a player makes per-minute of ice-time. Only those events taking place in the defensive-zone are included. The higher the number the better a player performed.
Defensive-zone risk/reward rating is calculated by subtracting the total number of unsuccessful plays a player makes per-minute of ice-time from the total number of successful plays a player makes per-minute of ice-time. Only those events taking place in the defensive-zone are included. The higher the number the better a player performed.
HABS PROSPECTS: Offensive-zone Risk/reward Rating
Ratios are basic expressions of how well players perform. It is simply a
measurement of how many successful puck-possession plays a player makes
for every 1 unsuccessful puck-possession play. A successful or
unsuccessful event could be anything from a completed pass to a lost
puck-battle. Simply put, the higher a player's ratio, the more that
player helps his team maintain or acquire possession of the puck.
Offensive-zone risk/reward rating is calculated by subtracting the total number of unsuccessful plays a player makes per-minute of ice-time from the total number of successful plays a player makes per-minute of ice-time. Only those events taking place in the offensive-zone are included. The higher the number the better a player performed.
Offensive-zone risk/reward rating is calculated by subtracting the total number of unsuccessful plays a player makes per-minute of ice-time from the total number of successful plays a player makes per-minute of ice-time. Only those events taking place in the offensive-zone are included. The higher the number the better a player performed.
HABS PROSPECTS: Even-strength Risk/reward Rating
Even-strength risk/reward rating is calculated by subtracting the total number of unsuccessful plays a player makes per-minute of ice-time from the total number of successful plays a player makes per-minute of ice-time. The higher the number the better a player performed.
Ratios are basic expressions of how well players perform. It is simply a measurement of how many successful puck-possession plays a player makes for every 1 unsuccessful puck-possession play. A successful or unsuccessful event could be anything from a completed pass to a lost puck-battle. Simply put, the higher a player's ratio, the more that player helps his team maintain or acquire possession of the puck.
Ratios are basic expressions of how well players perform. It is simply a measurement of how many successful puck-possession plays a player makes for every 1 unsuccessful puck-possession play. A successful or unsuccessful event could be anything from a completed pass to a lost puck-battle. Simply put, the higher a player's ratio, the more that player helps his team maintain or acquire possession of the puck.
HABS PROSPECTS: Overall Grades
Overall grades is a representation of how well each player played. It is calculated by taking the total amount of successful plays a player makes and dividing that by the player's total amount of events. This grade also takes into account points, shots on goal, and traditional plus/minus. The higher the number, the better a player performed.
HABS PROSPECTS: Events Per-minute of Ice-time
"Events Per-minute of Ice-time" shows us how involved each player is in the play. The number reflects how many events each player engages in during each minute they play. The higher the number the more involved a player is in the play, and the more impact they can have on the outcome of a game.
HABS PROSPECTS: Events Per-zone
"Percentage of events by zone" show us what percentage of even-strength events each player engages in within each zone. It helpts us determine where players are most involved in the play.
Friday, June 29, 2012
Habs: One-game Scouting Report for Jarred Tinordi
This one-game scouting report is from a December 31st, 2012 WJHC game between Canada and Team USA. Canada won the game by a score of 3-2.
Tinordi was not on the ice for any goals against.
Tinordi played well. Especially when we consider the level of play, as well as the level of competition. Tinordi's multiple-game averages compare well with Nathan Beaulieu. Through 10-plus games scouted he has the same overall grade as Beaulieu, and a better even-strength risk/reward. Beaulieu has a higher defensive-zone risk/reward rating thanks to a higher success-rate when in possession of the puck.
The biggest concern with Tinordi continues to be his defensive-zone passing percentage. His success-rate of 69% is well below Beaulieu (72%), Ellis (76%), and even newly-drafted Dalton Thrower (72%). The combined average for all the defensemen scouted to-date is 73%.
OVERALL GRADE
Tinordi had an above-average overall grade of 72. He had a plus-2 traditional plus/minus and 2 shots on net. Sixty-seven percent of his total events took place in the defensive-zone. Despite playing on the first penalty-killing unit, he engaged in only one short-handed event; a successful blocked shot to save a goal.
EVEN-STRENGTH RISK/REWARD RATING AND RATIO
Tinordi earned an even-strength risk/reward rating of 1.61, and an even-strength ratio of 2.25 successful plays for every 1 unsuccessful play. He engaged in 4.18 events-per minute played.
*the average ES risk/reward rating for defensemen is 1.36
*the average ES ratio for defensemen is 2.25
OFFENSIVE-ZONE RISK/REWARD RATING AND RATIO
Tinordi produced an offensive-zone risk/reward rating of 0.28, and an o-zone ratio of 3 successful plays for every 1 unsuccessful play. He recovered 3 loose pucks, and completed all 4 of his offensive-zone pass-attempts. He was only able to get 2 of his 5 shot-attempts through to the net, and he engaed in 0.55 offensive-zone events per-minute played.
*the average offensive-zone risk/reward rating for defensemen is 0.16
*the average offensive-zone ratio for defensemen is 1.69
DEFENSIVE-ZONE RISK/REWARD RATING AND RATIO
Tinordi's numbers in the defensive-zone were hurt by his play with the puck (passing), and helped significantly by his play without the puck (puck-battles, loose-puck recoveries).
He earned a defensive-zone risk/reward rating of 0.78, and a defensive-zone ratio of 1.77 successful plays for every 1 unsuccessful play. He won 7 of 12 defensive-zone puck-battles, and recovered an impressive 14 loose-pucks. He completed only 6 of 15 d-zone pass-attempts, and was successful with 8 of 10 attempts to dump the puck safely out of the defensive-zone. He intercepted 2 passes, and engaged in 2.8 defensive-zone event per-minute played.
*the average defensive-zone risk/reward rating for defensemen is 0.93
*the average defensive-zone ratio for defensemen is 2.25
NEUTRAL-ZONE RISK/REWARD RATING AND RATIO
Tinordi had an impressive neutral-zone risk/reward rating of 0.50, and an incredible neutral-zone ratio of 5 successful plays for every 1 unsuccessful play. His neutral-zone passing success was head-and-shoulders above his d-zone passing-percentage, as he completed 7 of 9 neutral-zone pass-attempts. He also recovered 5 loose-pucks, and engaged in 0.75 neutral-zone events per-minute played.
*the average neutral-zone risk/reward rating for defensemen is 0.30
*the average neutral-zone ratio for defensemen is 2.13
Tinordi was not on the ice for any goals against.
Tinordi played well. Especially when we consider the level of play, as well as the level of competition. Tinordi's multiple-game averages compare well with Nathan Beaulieu. Through 10-plus games scouted he has the same overall grade as Beaulieu, and a better even-strength risk/reward. Beaulieu has a higher defensive-zone risk/reward rating thanks to a higher success-rate when in possession of the puck.
The biggest concern with Tinordi continues to be his defensive-zone passing percentage. His success-rate of 69% is well below Beaulieu (72%), Ellis (76%), and even newly-drafted Dalton Thrower (72%). The combined average for all the defensemen scouted to-date is 73%.
OVERALL GRADE
Tinordi had an above-average overall grade of 72. He had a plus-2 traditional plus/minus and 2 shots on net. Sixty-seven percent of his total events took place in the defensive-zone. Despite playing on the first penalty-killing unit, he engaged in only one short-handed event; a successful blocked shot to save a goal.
24
| ||
WINS
|
68
|
WINS
|
EVENTS
|
94
|
EVENTS
|
GRADE
|
72
|
GRADE
|
PLAYER
|
24
|
PLAYER
|
EVEN-STRENGTH RISK/REWARD RATING AND RATIO
Tinordi earned an even-strength risk/reward rating of 1.61, and an even-strength ratio of 2.25 successful plays for every 1 unsuccessful play. He engaged in 4.18 events-per minute played.
*the average ES risk/reward rating for defensemen is 1.36
*the average ES ratio for defensemen is 2.25
24
| ||
POS
|
63
|
POS
|
NEG
|
28
|
NEG
|
RATIO
|
2.25
|
RATIO
|
24
| ||
POS/MIN
|
2.90
|
POS/MIN
|
NEG/MIN
|
1.29
|
NEG/MIN
|
24
| ||
EVENTS/ MIN
|
4.18
|
EVENTS/ MIN
|
RISK/REWARD
|
1.61
|
RISK/REWARD
|
24
|
OFFENSIVE-ZONE RISK/REWARD RATING AND RATIO
Tinordi produced an offensive-zone risk/reward rating of 0.28, and an o-zone ratio of 3 successful plays for every 1 unsuccessful play. He recovered 3 loose pucks, and completed all 4 of his offensive-zone pass-attempts. He was only able to get 2 of his 5 shot-attempts through to the net, and he engaed in 0.55 offensive-zone events per-minute played.
*the average offensive-zone risk/reward rating for defensemen is 0.16
*the average offensive-zone ratio for defensemen is 1.69
24
| ||
OZ POS
|
9
|
OZ POS
|
OZ NEG
|
3
|
OZ NEG
|
RATIO
|
3.00
|
RATIO
|
24
| ||
POS/MIN
|
0.41
|
POS/MIN
|
NEG/MIN
|
0.14
|
NEG/MIN
|
24
| ||
EVENTS/ MIN
|
0.55
|
EVENTS/ MIN
|
RISK/REWARD
|
0.28
|
RISK/REWARD
|
24
|
DEFENSIVE-ZONE RISK/REWARD RATING AND RATIO
Tinordi's numbers in the defensive-zone were hurt by his play with the puck (passing), and helped significantly by his play without the puck (puck-battles, loose-puck recoveries).
He earned a defensive-zone risk/reward rating of 0.78, and a defensive-zone ratio of 1.77 successful plays for every 1 unsuccessful play. He won 7 of 12 defensive-zone puck-battles, and recovered an impressive 14 loose-pucks. He completed only 6 of 15 d-zone pass-attempts, and was successful with 8 of 10 attempts to dump the puck safely out of the defensive-zone. He intercepted 2 passes, and engaged in 2.8 defensive-zone event per-minute played.
*the average defensive-zone risk/reward rating for defensemen is 0.93
*the average defensive-zone ratio for defensemen is 2.25
24
| ||
DZ POS
|
39
|
DZ POS
|
DZ NEG
|
22
|
DZ NEG
|
RATIO
|
1.77
|
RATIO
|
24
| ||
POS/MIN
|
1.79
|
POS/MIN
|
NEG/MIN
|
1.01
|
NEG/MIN
|
24
| ||
EVENTS/ MIN
|
2.80
|
EVENTS/ MIN
|
RISK/REWARD
|
0.78
|
RISK/REWARD
|
24
|
NEUTRAL-ZONE RISK/REWARD RATING AND RATIO
Tinordi had an impressive neutral-zone risk/reward rating of 0.50, and an incredible neutral-zone ratio of 5 successful plays for every 1 unsuccessful play. His neutral-zone passing success was head-and-shoulders above his d-zone passing-percentage, as he completed 7 of 9 neutral-zone pass-attempts. He also recovered 5 loose-pucks, and engaged in 0.75 neutral-zone events per-minute played.
*the average neutral-zone risk/reward rating for defensemen is 0.30
*the average neutral-zone ratio for defensemen is 2.13
24
| ||
NZ POS
|
15
|
NZ POS
|
NZ NEG
|
3
|
NZ NEG
|
RATIO
|
5.00
|
RATIO
|
24
| ||
POS/MIN
|
0.63
|
POS/MIN
|
NEG/MIN
|
0.13
|
NEG/MIN
|
24
| ||
EV/ MIN
|
0.75
|
EV/ MIN
|
RISK/REWARD
|
0.50
|
RISK/REWARD
|
24
|
Wednesday, June 27, 2012
HABS: One-game Scouting Report for Alex Galchenyuk
Alex Galchenyuk was the Montreal Canadiens first pick (third overall) in the 2012 NHL entry draft. Galchenyuk is a 6'0", 200 lbs left-handed centre. Due to a serious knee injury, he played only 2 regular season, and 6 playoff games last season.
This one-game scouting report is from the Sarnia Sting's season-ending loss to the Saginaw Spirit on March 30th, 2012. Galchenyuk showed impressive puck-protection skills along the wall, as well as an ability to find the open-man in the offensive-zone. He had only 2 even-strength defensive-zone starts the entire game, and played on the Sting's number-one powerplay unit. He definitely outperformed teammate Nail Yakupov during the game; although Yakupov was likely not at his best due to lingering concussion issues.
OVERALL GRADE
Galchenyuk earned an above-average overall grade of 72. His highest rating was produced in the offensive-zone, although his work in both the neutral and defensive-zones was impressive as well. Thanks in part to the high amount of offensive-zone starts, an incredible 80% of Galchenyuk`s events took place in the offensive-zone.
EVEN-STRENGTH RISK/REWARD RATING AND RATIO
Galchenyuk produced a well above-average even-strength risk/reward rating of 1.63, and an impressive ratio of 2.29 successful plays for every 1 unsuccessful play. He had an even traditional plus/minus with no points, and 2 shots on goal. He engaged in 4.15 events per-minute played.
*the average ES risk/reward among forwards is 1.10
*the average ES ratio among forwards is 1.87
OFFENSIVE-ZONE RISK/REWARD RATING AND RATIO
Galchenyuk had an offensive-zone risk/reward rating of 0.96, and a solid offensive-zone ratio of 1.81 successful plays for every 1 unsuccessful play. He won only 1 of 4 offensive-zone puck-battles, recovered an impressive 9 offensive-zone loose-pucks, and completed 10 of 14 offensive-zone pass-attempts. He was also successful with 6 of 10 attempts to beat opposing players 1on1 (deke), and engaged in an incredible 3.33 offensive-zone events per-minute played.
*the average offensive-zone risk/reward among forwards is 0.39
*the average offensive-zone ratio among forwards is 1.62
DEFENSIVE-ZONE RISK/REWARD RATING AND RATIO
Galchenyuk was perfect in the defensive-zone. That said, he did have only 2 even-strength defensive-zone starts the entire game. He had a defensive-zone risk/reward rating of 0.44, and was successful with all 6 of his d-zone events. He won all 3 of his d-zone puck-battles, completed his only pass-attempt, as well as his only attempted d-zone deke. He engaged in 0.44 defensive-zone events per-minute played.
*the average defensive-zone risk/reward among forwards is 0.38
*the average defensive-zone ratio among forwards is 1.95
NEUTRAL-ZONE RISK/REWARD RATING AND RATIO
Gachenyuk did not carry the puck through the neutral-zone as much as he did during a previous game scouted. This could also be a product of his high offensive-zone start total. He earned a neutral-zone risk/reward rating of 0.03, and a neutral-zone ratio of 4 successful plays for every 1 unsuccessful play. He completed all 3 of his attempted passes, and was successful with his only attempt to beat an opposing player 1on1 (deke). He engaged in only 0.05 neutral-zone events per-minute of ice-time.
*the average neutral-zone risk/reward among forwards is 0.30
*the average neutral-zone ratio among forwards is 2.14
POWERPLAY RISK/REWARD RATING AND RATIO
Galchenyuk earned a powerplay risk/reward rating of 2.17, and a PP ratio of 5.5 successful plays for every 1 unsuccessful play. He recovered 2 loose-pucks, and was successful with all 3 of his PP passes in the offensive-zone. He also beat two players 1on1, and engaged in 3.13 powerplay events per minute of powerplay ice-time.
His two failed events on the PP were an unsuccessful neutral-zone pass, and a lost race to a loose-puck.
*the average powerplay risk/reward among forwards is 2.18
*the average powerplay ratio among forwards is 3.04
This one-game scouting report is from the Sarnia Sting's season-ending loss to the Saginaw Spirit on March 30th, 2012. Galchenyuk showed impressive puck-protection skills along the wall, as well as an ability to find the open-man in the offensive-zone. He had only 2 even-strength defensive-zone starts the entire game, and played on the Sting's number-one powerplay unit. He definitely outperformed teammate Nail Yakupov during the game; although Yakupov was likely not at his best due to lingering concussion issues.
OVERALL GRADE
Galchenyuk earned an above-average overall grade of 72. His highest rating was produced in the offensive-zone, although his work in both the neutral and defensive-zones was impressive as well. Thanks in part to the high amount of offensive-zone starts, an incredible 80% of Galchenyuk`s events took place in the offensive-zone.
94
| ||
WINS
|
52
|
WINS
|
EVENTS
|
72
|
EVENTS
|
GRADE
|
72
|
GRADE
|
PLAYER
|
94
|
EVEN-STRENGTH RISK/REWARD RATING AND RATIO
Galchenyuk produced a well above-average even-strength risk/reward rating of 1.63, and an impressive ratio of 2.29 successful plays for every 1 unsuccessful play. He had an even traditional plus/minus with no points, and 2 shots on goal. He engaged in 4.15 events per-minute played.
*the average ES risk/reward among forwards is 1.10
*the average ES ratio among forwards is 1.87
94
| ||
POS
|
39
|
POS
|
NEG
|
17
|
NEG
|
RATIO
|
2.29
|
RATIO
|
94
| ||
POS/MIN
|
2.89
|
POS/MIN
|
NEG/MIN
|
1.26
|
NEG/MIN
|
94
| ||
EVENTS/ MIN
|
4.15
|
EVENTS/ MIN
|
RISK/REWARD
|
1.63
|
RISK/REWARD
|
94
|
OFFENSIVE-ZONE RISK/REWARD RATING AND RATIO
Galchenyuk had an offensive-zone risk/reward rating of 0.96, and a solid offensive-zone ratio of 1.81 successful plays for every 1 unsuccessful play. He won only 1 of 4 offensive-zone puck-battles, recovered an impressive 9 offensive-zone loose-pucks, and completed 10 of 14 offensive-zone pass-attempts. He was also successful with 6 of 10 attempts to beat opposing players 1on1 (deke), and engaged in an incredible 3.33 offensive-zone events per-minute played.
*the average offensive-zone risk/reward among forwards is 0.39
*the average offensive-zone ratio among forwards is 1.62
94
| ||
OZ POS
|
29
|
OZ POS
|
OZ NEG
|
16
|
OZ NEG
|
RATIO
|
1.81
|
RATIO
|
94
| ||
POS/MIN
|
2.15
|
POS/MIN
|
NEG/MIN
|
1.19
|
NEG/MIN
|
94
| ||
EVENTS/ MIN
|
3.33
|
EVENTS/ MIN
|
RISK/REWARD
|
0.96
|
RISK/REWARD
|
94
|
DEFENSIVE-ZONE RISK/REWARD RATING AND RATIO
Galchenyuk was perfect in the defensive-zone. That said, he did have only 2 even-strength defensive-zone starts the entire game. He had a defensive-zone risk/reward rating of 0.44, and was successful with all 6 of his d-zone events. He won all 3 of his d-zone puck-battles, completed his only pass-attempt, as well as his only attempted d-zone deke. He engaged in 0.44 defensive-zone events per-minute played.
*the average defensive-zone risk/reward among forwards is 0.38
*the average defensive-zone ratio among forwards is 1.95
94
| ||
DZ POS
|
6
|
DZ POS
|
DZ NEG
|
0
|
DZ NEG
|
RATIO
|
N/A
|
RATIO
|
94
| ||
POS/MIN
|
0.44
|
POS/MIN
|
NEG/MIN
|
0.00
|
NEG/MIN
|
94
| ||
EVENTS/ MIN
|
0.44
|
EVENTS/ MIN
|
RISK/REWARD
|
0.44
|
RISK/REWARD
|
94
|
NEUTRAL-ZONE RISK/REWARD RATING AND RATIO
Gachenyuk did not carry the puck through the neutral-zone as much as he did during a previous game scouted. This could also be a product of his high offensive-zone start total. He earned a neutral-zone risk/reward rating of 0.03, and a neutral-zone ratio of 4 successful plays for every 1 unsuccessful play. He completed all 3 of his attempted passes, and was successful with his only attempt to beat an opposing player 1on1 (deke). He engaged in only 0.05 neutral-zone events per-minute of ice-time.
*the average neutral-zone risk/reward among forwards is 0.30
*the average neutral-zone ratio among forwards is 2.14
94
| ||
NZ POS
|
4
|
NZ POS
|
NZ NEG
|
1
|
NZ NEG
|
RATIO
|
4.00
|
RATIO
|
94
| ||
POS/MIN
|
0.04
|
POS/MIN
|
NEG/MIN
|
0.01
|
NEG/MIN
|
94
| ||
EV/ MIN
|
0.05
|
EV/ MIN
|
RISK/REWARD
|
0.03
|
RISK/REWARD
|
94
|
POWERPLAY RISK/REWARD RATING AND RATIO
Galchenyuk earned a powerplay risk/reward rating of 2.17, and a PP ratio of 5.5 successful plays for every 1 unsuccessful play. He recovered 2 loose-pucks, and was successful with all 3 of his PP passes in the offensive-zone. He also beat two players 1on1, and engaged in 3.13 powerplay events per minute of powerplay ice-time.
His two failed events on the PP were an unsuccessful neutral-zone pass, and a lost race to a loose-puck.
*the average powerplay risk/reward among forwards is 2.18
*the average powerplay ratio among forwards is 3.04
94
| ||
POS
|
11
|
POS
|
NEG
|
2
|
NEG
|
RATIO
|
5.50
|
RATIO
|
94
| ||
POS/MIN
|
2.65
|
POS/MIN
|
NEG/MIN
|
0.48
|
NEG/MIN
|
94
| ||
EVENTS/ MIN
|
3.13
|
EVENTS/ MIN
|
RISK/REWARD
|
2.17
|
RISK/REWARD
|
94
|
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