Saturday, March 9, 2013

Alexei Emelin; by the numbers

Alexei Emelin's improved confidence, combined with a consistent (and talented) defensive-partner has allowed number 74 to improve his numbers in both the offensive and defensive-zones. His decision-making in the defensive-zone has been particularly impressive, as he's produced significantly less turnovers.


SCORING CHANCES

Emelin has an even-strength scoring chance ratio of 0.49. This gives him the fifth-best scoring chance ratio among the 8 defensemen who have played for the Canadiens this season. Expressed simply, this means that Emelin is involved in the production of 0.49 scoring chances for every 1 scoring chance he is involved in giving up.

#74 EMELIN
SCORING CHANCES FOR
N/A
20
CHANCES AGAINST
N/A
41
 
EMELIN  2011-12
EMELIN
 2012-13
 


OFFENSIVE-ZONE

Emelin's offensive-zone risk/reward rating is up slightly from last season, while his o-zone ratio is equal to last year. Emelin is engaging in more offensive-zone events per-minute played this season, but has been less successful pinching-in at the offensive blue-line. This is an interesting stat, as Markov and Emelin continue to give up more odd-man rushes against than any other defensive-pairing. To be fair, Markov is more often the culprit.

Emelin is making more successful offensive-zone puck-possession plays. This is the product of an offensive-zone passing success-rate that has improved from 49.7% in 2011-12 to 55% this season. He has attempted to beat opposing players 1on1 (deke) less often this year, but has been more successful with this season's attempts.

His success-rate when attempting to get shots through to the net is almost identical.

#74 EMELIN
OFFENSIVE-ZONE (EVEN-STRENGTH)
EMELIN  2011-12
EMELIN  2012-13
 
 
 
SUCCESSFUL OFFENSIVE-ZONE PUCK/BATTLES PER-MINUTE
0.02
0.01
OFFENSIVE-ZONE RISK/REWARD RATING
0.14
0.17
OFFENSIVE-ZONE RATIO (SUCCESSFUL TO UNSUCCESSFUL PLAYS)
1.64
1.64
OFFENSIVE-ZONE LOOSE-PUCK RECOVERIES 
0.099
0.159
OFFENSIVE-ZONE PUCK-BATTLE WINNING-PERCENTAGE /MP
56.8%
71.4%
OFFENSIVE-ZONE EVENTS / MP
0.559
0.713
FORECHECKING SUCCESS-RATE
82.2%
73.7%
INTERCEPTED OPPOSITION PASSES /MP
0.049
0.050
 
 
 
SUCCESSFUL O-ZONE PUCK POSSESSION PLAYS /MP
0.165
0.220
O-ZONE PUCK-POSSESSION SUCCESS-RATE
49.7%
55.0%
DEFLECTIONS
0.00
0.00
 
 
 
ATTEMPTED O-ZONE PASSES /MP
0.160
0.220
SUCCESSFUL O-ZONE PASSES /MP
0.101
0.151
O-ZONE PASSING SUCCESS-RATE
62.9%
68.7%
 
 
 
ATTEMPTED O-ZONE DEKES
0.017
0.013
SUCCESSFUL O-ZONE DEKES 
0.010
0.011
O-ZONE DEKE SUCCESS-RATE
61.1%
80.0%
 
 
 
ATTEMPTED SHOTS /MP
0.154
0.167
SHOTS THROUGH TO THE NET /MP
0.054
0.058
SHOTS THROUGH SUCCESS-RATE
34.8%
34.9%
TRUE SHOOTING-PERCENTAGE (GOALS / ATTEMPTED SHOTS)
1.2%
0.0%
 
 
 


 
DEFENSIVE-ZONE

Defensively, Emelin has improved substantially this season. His defensive-zone risk/reward rating has gone up from 0.75 in 2011-12 to 1.20 this season, while his defensive-zone ratio has improved from 1.95 successful plays for every 1 unsuccessful play in 2011-12 to 2.86 this year.

Emelin is recovering nearly twice as many loose-pucks this season. His defensive-zone puck-battle winning percentage is also up significantly, as is his overall defensive success-rate.

He's engaged in more defensive-zone events per-minute played this year, but has blocked fewer shots and intercepted fewer passes. This is a reflection of the fact that Emelin is spending less time defending,  and more time with possession in the defensive-zone this season.

Emelin is making more successful puck-possession plays per-minute played, and has an improved success-rate. This is thanks to an improved defensive-zone passing success-rate, as well as a willingness to choose the "dump-out" option when no pass is available. We can see this shift in decision making when we compare the number of dump-outs per-minute played in each season; Number 74 has attempted 0.154 dump-outs per-minute played this season, compared to .082 dumps per-minute played last season.

#74 EMELIN
DEFENSIVE-ZONE (EVEN-STRENGTH)
EMELIN  2011-12
EMELIN
 2012-13
 
 
 
DEFENSIVE-ZONE RISK/REWARD RATING
0.75
1.20
DEFENSIVE-ZONE RATIO (SUCCESSFUL TO UNSUCCESSFUL PLAYS)
1.95
2.86
DEFENSIVE-ZONE LOOSE-PUCK RECOVERIES /MP
0.397
0.626
DEFENSIVE-ZONE PUCK-BATTLE WINNING-PERCENTAGE
55.0%
77.9%
DEFENSIVE-ZONE EVENTS /MP
2.32
2.48
DEFENDING IN D-ZONE SUCCESS-RATE/MP
64.8%
77.2%
INTERCEPTED OPPOSITION PASSES /MP
0.091
0.074
BLOCKED SHOTS /MP
0.089
0.061
 
 
 
SUCCESSFUL D-ZONE PUCK POSSESSION PLAYS /MP
0.714
0.824
D-ZONE PUCK-POSSESSION SUCCESS-RATE
67.6%
70.7%
 
 
 
ATTEMPTED D-ZONE PASSES 
0.913
0.941
SUCCESSFUL D-ZONE PASSES 
0.628
0.705
D-ZONE PASSING SUCCESS-RATE
68.8%
74.9%
 
 
 
ATTEMPTED D-ZONE DEKES 
0.053
0.061
SUCCESSFUL D-ZONE DEKES 
0.038
0.032
D-ZONE DEKE SUCCESS-RATE
71.4%
52.2%
 
 
 
ATTEMPTED DUMP-OUTS 
0.082
0.154
DUMP-OUTS 
0.048
0.087
DUMP-OUTS SUCCESS-RATE
58.6%
56.9%
     


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