Monday, May 6, 2013

Desharnais with some brutal playoff possession numbers

Breaking down the Habs centreman's numbers through 3 playoff games

David Desharnais has been a puck-possession marvel; both this past season, as well as during the 2011-12 season. In fact, Desharnais had the top puck-possessions success-rate among forwards in each of the past two seasons. Expressed simply, this means Desharnais was more likely to maintain puck-possession, and less likely to give the puck away than any other Montreal forward; two years running!

As the numbers below indicate; through the first 3 games the 2013 opening-round playoff series against the Ottawa Senators, Desharnais' strength has become his weakness.


OFFENSIVE-ZONE

Desharnais's offensive-zone risk/reward rating during the playoffs is 0.43 points lower than his season average, while his offensive-zone ratio has gone from 2.02 successful plays in the offensive-zone for every 1 unsuccessful play to just 1.35.

He's actually doing a better job acquiring and removing puck-possession from Ottawa in the offensive-zone (forechecking), but has struggled creating offense once in possession of the puck. He has gone from making 0.647 successful plays with possession of the puck in the offensive-zone per-minute of ice-time to just 0.277.

His success-rate when attempting to maintain puck-possession in the offensive-zone by way of a successful pass, deke, or shot on net has gone from 63.4% during the regular season to just 39.3%. During the season, Desharnais had a team-leading 60.4% success-rate when attempting to get shots through to the net, but has yet to get a shot through to the net in this series. He has been successful with only 47.1% of his o-zone pass-attempts, and 42.9% of his attempts to beat opposing players 1on1 (deke).

#51 DESHARNAIS
OFFENSIVE-ZONE (EVEN-STRENGTH)
DESHARNAIS    2012-13
DESHARNAIS   OTTAWA PLAYOFFS
 
 
 
SUCCESSFUL OFFENSIVE-ZONE PUCK/BATTLES PER-MINUTE
0.12
0.10
OFFENSIVE-ZONE RISK/REWARD RATING
0.66
0.23
OFFENSIVE-ZONE RATIO (SUCCESSFUL TO UNSUCCESSFUL PLAYS)
2.02
1.35
OFFENSIVE-ZONE LOOSE-PUCK RECOVERIES 
0.429
0.403
OFFENSIVE-ZONE PUCK-BATTLE WINNING-PERCENTAGE /MP
70.0%
80.0%
OFFENSIVE-ZONE EVENTS / MP
1.939
1.535
FORECHECKING SUCCESS-RATE
72.2%
75.0%
INTERCEPTED OPPOSITION PASSES /MP
0.086
0.101
 
 
 
SUCCESSFUL O-ZONE PUCK POSSESSION PLAYS /MP
0.647
0.277
O-ZONE PUCK-POSSESSION SUCCESS-RATE
63.4%
39.3%
DEFLECTIONS
0.12
0.00
 
 
 
ATTEMPTED O-ZONE PASSES /MP
0.619
0.428
SUCCESSFUL O-ZONE PASSES /MP
0.414
0.201
O-ZONE PASSING SUCCESS-RATE
66.8%
47.1%
 
 
 
ATTEMPTED O-ZONE DEKES
0.243
0.176
SUCCESSFUL O-ZONE DEKES 
0.137
0.076
O-ZONE DEKE SUCCESS-RATE
56.5%
42.9%
 
 
 
ATTEMPTED SHOTS /MP
0.159
0.101
SHOTS THROUGH TO THE NET /MP
0.096
0.000
SHOTS THROUGH SUCCESS-RATE
60.4%
0.0%
TRUE SHOOTING-PERCENTAGE (GOALS / ATTEMPTED SHOTS)
7.3%
0.0%
 
 
 


DEFENSIVE-ZONE

Desharnais' defensive-zone risk/reward rating has gone from 0.48 during the regular season to just 0.15 through the first 3 games of the Ottawa series. His d-zone ratio has also dropped; from 2.77 successful plays in the defensive-zone for every 1 unsuccessful play to 1.40.

He's less successful in his attempts to remove/acquire puck-possession from the opposition in the defensive-zone, and his success-rate when attempting to move the puck out of the defensive-zone by way of a deke, pass, or dump-out is down from 70.9% during the regular season to 50% versus the Senators. Expressed differently, this means that Desharnais only gave the puck away 29.1% of the time he had the puck on his stick in the defensive-zone during the season, but has given the puck away 50% of the time he's had possession in the d-zone during the playoffs.

His d-zone passing-percentage has gone from 78% to 66.7%, but he's been successful with all of his attempts to beat Ottawa players 1on1 (deke). He's attempting twice as many dump-outs per minute played against Ottawa than he did during the season, but has yet to complete a playoff dump-out successfully.

#51 DESHARNAIS
DEFENSIVE-ZONE (EVEN-STRENGTH)
DESHARNAIS   2012-13
DESHARNAIS  OTTAWA PLAYOFFS
 
 
 
DEFENSIVE-ZONE RISK/REWARD RATING
0.48
0.15
DEFENSIVE-ZONE RATIO (SUCCESSFUL TO UNSUCCESSFUL PLAYS)
2.77
1.40
DEFENSIVE-ZONE LOOSE-PUCK RECOVERIES /MP
0.276
0.227
DEFENSIVE-ZONE PUCK-BATTLE WINNING-PERCENTAGE
76.2%
60.0%
DEFENSIVE-ZONE EVENTS /MP
1.03
0.91
DEFENDING IN D-ZONE SUCCESS-RATE/MP
75.0%
63.6%
INTERCEPTED OPPOSITION PASSES /MP
0.048
0.025
BLOCKED SHOTS /MP
0.028
0.025
 
 
 
SUCCESSFUL D-ZONE PUCK POSSESSION PLAYS /MP
0.275
0.176
D-ZONE PUCK-POSSESSION SUCCESS-RATE
70.9%
50.0%
 
 
 
ATTEMPTED D-ZONE PASSES 
0.301
0.227
SUCCESSFUL D-ZONE PASSES 
0.235
0.151
D-ZONE PASSING SUCCESS-RATE
78.0%
66.7%
 
 
 
ATTEMPTED D-ZONE DEKES 
0.020
0.025
SUCCESSFUL D-ZONE DEKES 
0.008
0.025
D-ZONE DEKE SUCCESS-RATE
41.7%
100.0%
 
 
 
ATTEMPTED DUMP-OUTS 
0.053
0.101
DUMP-OUTS 
0.031
0.000
DUMP-OUTS SUCCESS-RATE
59.4%
0.0%
     



NEUTRAL-ZONE

Desharnais' has  a negative neutral-zone risk/reward rating during the playoffs. This means that Desharnais has made more unsuccessful plays in the neutral-zone against Ottawa than successful plays. This is also expressed in his n-zone ratio, as he's made only 0.76 successful plays in the neutral-zone for every 1 unsuccessful play.

He hasn't been successful with any of his attempts to remove puck-possession from the opposition by way of stick or body check in the neutral-zone, and has only been successful with 64.3% of his defensive-events.

In terms of puck-possession, Desharnais has been successful with only 25% of his pass, deke or dump-in attempts in the neutral-zone; compared to a success-rate of 71.6% during the regular season. Breaking that down even further, he's been successful with only 40% of his n-zone pass-attempts, 50% of his deke-attempts, and  just 16.7% of his attempts to dump the puck deep into the offensive-zone. By comparison, he was successful with 83.1% of his attempted dump-ins during the regular season.

#51 DESHARNAIS
NEUTRAL-ZONE (EVEN-STRENGTH)
DESHARNAIS  2012-13
DESHARNAIS OTTAWA PLAYOFFS
 
 
 
NEUTRAL-ZONE RISK/REWARD RATING
0.31
-0.10
NEUTRAL-ZONE RATIO (SUCCESSFUL TO UNSUCCESSFUL PLAYS)
2.71
0.76
NEUTRAL-ZONE LOOSE-PUCK RECOVERIES/MP
0.13
0.15
NEUTRAL-ZONE PUCK-BATTLE WINNING-PERCENTAGE
58.7%
0.0%
NEUTRAL-ZONE EVENTS /MP
0.682
0.755
DEFENDING IN N-ZONE SUCCESS-RATE
75.0%
64.3%
INTERCEPTED OPPOSITION PASSES /MP
0.046
0.076
 
 
 
SUCCESSFUL N-ZONE PUCK POSSESSION PLAYS
0.280
0.101
N-ZONE PUCK-POSSESSION SUCCESS-RATE
71.6%
25.0%
 
 
 
ATTEMPTED N-ZONE PASSES /MP
0.195
0.126
SUCCESSFUL N-ZONE PASSES /MP
0.147
0.050
N-ZONE PASSING SUCCESS-RATE
75.4%
40.0%
 
 
 
ATTEMPTED N-ZONE DEKES/MP
0.051
0.050
SUCCESSFUL N-ZONE DEKES /MP
0.035
0.025
N-ZONE DEKE SUCCESS-RATE
67.7%
50.0%
 
 
 
ATTEMPTED DUMP-INS/MP
0.117
0.151
SUCCESSFUL DUMP-INS/MP
0.098
0.025
DUMP-INS SUCCESS-RATE
83.1%
16.7%
OFFSIDES CAUSED
2
2
 
 
 

No comments:

Post a Comment