Wednesday, October 16, 2013

Beaulieu vs. Tinordi; what the numbers tell us

Two different defensemen with two different skill-sets

Jarred Tinordi had played just over 40 minutes of even-strength ice-time this season, while Nathan Beaulieu has played just under 20 minutes. Beaulieu has a substantial advantage in both risk/reward rating and ratio, but Tinordi's defensive numbers dwarf those of Beaulieu.

Tinordi's offensive-touch success-rate (success-rate while in possession of the puck) is a below-average 50.6%. Beaulieu's o-touch success-rate is  an above-average 71.1%.  As a testament to these defenders' contrasting talents, Tinordi's defensive-touch success-rate (success-rate when attempting to remove puck-possession from the opposition) is a slightly above-average 61.8%, while Beaulieu's is a substantially below-average 45.4%.

An interesting note; if we were to make one player out of these two defensemen by combining Beaulieu's o-touch % with Tinordi's d-touch%, his name would be Josh Gorges.


RATINGS AND RATIOS

TINORDI / BEAULIEU
RATINGS AND RATIOS
24
40
D-MEN
 
 
 
 
OVERALL RATIO
1.82
3.04
2.89
OVERALL RISK/REWARD RATING
1.13
2.56
2.12
 
 
 
 
ES RATIO
1.88
2.85
2.82
ES RISK/REWARD RATING
1.26
2.52
2.07
 
 
 
 
ES OTOUCHES / MP
1.835
2.365
2.14
ES SUCCESSFUL OFFENSIVE TOUCH %
50.6%
71.1%
66.3%
ES DTOUCHES / MP
0.810
1.156
0.68
ES SUCCESSFUL DEFENSIVE-TOUCH %
61.8%
45.5%
60.2%
 
 
 
 
PP RATIO
N/A
5.50
3.93
PP SUCCESSFUL OFFENSIVE TOUCH %
N/A
88.9%
66.3%
SH RATIO
1.56
N/A
2.29
SH SUCCESSFUL DEFENSIVE-TOUCH %
64.3%
N/A
63.6%
 
 
 
 
TAKEAWAY TO TURNOVER RATIO (HIGHER IS BETTER)
1.95
3.23
2.49
SCORING CHANCE FOR/AGAINST RATIO (HIGHER IS BETTER)
0.13
0.67
0.84
       



SCORING CHANCES

Tinordi, and Beaulieu have been responsible for more scoring chances against per-minute than any other Montreal defensemen.


TINORDI / BEAULIEU
 
24
40
D-MEN
SCORING CHANCES FOR / MP
0.024
0.105
0.076
SCORING CHANCES AGAINST/MP
0.191
0.158
0.090
       




OFFENSIVE-ZONE

Both defensemen have produced similar offensive-zone risk/reward ratings, however Beaulieu's ratio of successful to unsuccessful plays is significantly better. Tinordi has been more active defensively in the offensive-zone; particularly holding the blueline. Both players have recovered a similar amounts of o-zone loose-pucks, but Tinordi has engaged in surprisingly more offensive-zone events.

Tinordi has been able to get 16.7% of his attempted shots through to the net, while Beaulieu has yet to get a shot through to the net.  That said, Beaulieu has been successful with all of his attempts to pass the puck to a teammate in scoring position (slot).


TINORDI / BEAULIEU
OFFENSIVE-ZONE (EVEN-STRENGTH)
24
40
D-MEN
 
 
 
 
OFFENSIVE-ZONE RISK/REWARD RATING
0.26
0.32
0.30
OFFENSIVE-ZONE RATIO (SUCCESSFUL TO UNSUCCESSFUL PLAYS)
1.73
3.00
2.01
 
 
 
 
ATTEMPTED OFFENSIVE-ZONE STICK-CHECKS /MP
0.024
0.000
0.025
SUCCESSFUL OFFENSIVE-ZONE STICK-CHECKS /MP
0.024
0.000
0.014
OZONE STICK CHECK SUCCESS-RATE
100.0%
N/A
57.1%
 
 
 
 
ATTEMPTED OFFENSIVE-ZONE BODY-CHECK/MP
0.024
0.000
0.016
SUCCESSFUL OFFENSIVE-ZONE BODY-CHECKS / MP
0.000
0.000
0.007
OZONE BODY-CHECK SUCCESS-RATE
0.0%
N/A
44.4%
 
 
 
 
OVERALL OFFENSIVE-ZONE PUCK-BATTLE WINNING-PERCENTAGE 
50.0%
N/A
52.2%
OFFENSIVE-ZONE LOOSE-PUCK RECOVERIES / MP
0.262
0.263
0.229
OFFENSIVE-ZONE REBOUND LPR'S / MP
0.000
0.000
0.009
BLOCKED OPPOSITION PASSES (O-ZONE) /MP
0.143
0.000
0.042
DTOUCH EVENTS / MP
 
 
 
OFFENSIVE-ZONE EVENTS / MP
0.977
0.631
0.891
 
 
 
 
 O-ZONE DEFENSIVE-TOUCHES / MP
0.191
0.053
0.116
SUCCESSFUL O-ZONE DEFENSIVE-TOUCHES/MP
0.167
0.000
0.063
OZONE DTOUCH SUCCESS-RATE
87.5%
0.0%
60.3%
 
 
 
 
O-ZONE OTOUCHES / MP
0.500
0.315
0.510
O-ZONE SUCCESSFUL OTOUCHES/ MP
0.191
0.210
0.293
OZONE OTOUCH SUCCESS-RATE
38.1%
66.7%
45.9%
 
 
 
 
DEFLECTIONS/MP
0.000
0.000
0.000
 
 
 
 
ATTEMPTED O-ZONE PASSES TO SLOT /MP
0.048
0.053
0.056
SUCCESSFUL O-ZONE PASSES TO SLOT /MP
0.024
0.053
0.040
O-ZONE PASSES TO SLOT SUCCESS-RATE
50.0%
100.0%
71.0%
 
 
 
 
TOTAL ATTEMPTED O-ZONE PASSES /MP
0.310
0.210
0.322
TOTAL SUCCESSFUL O-ZONE PASSES /MP
0.143
0.210
0.220
TOTAL O-ZONE PASSING SUCCESS-RATE
46.2%
100.0%
68.5%
 
 
 
 
ATTEMPTED O-ZONE DEKES / MP
0.000
0.000
0.020
SUCCESSFUL O-ZONE DEKES / MP
0.000
0.000
0.016
O-ZONE DEKE SUCCESS-RATE
N/A
N/A
81.8%
 
24
40
D-MEN
ATTEMPTED O-ZONE WALL DEKES / MP
0.024
0.000
0.004
SUCCESSFUL O-ZONE WALL DEKES / MP
0.024
0.000
0.004
O-ZONE WALL DEKE SUCCESS-RATE
100.0%
N/A
100.0%
 
 
 
 
ATTEMPTED SHOTS /MP
0.143
0.105
0.159
ATTEMPTED SHOTS BLOCKED BY OPPOSITION / MP
0.071
0.053
0.067
PERCENTAGE OF ATTEMPTED SHOTS BLOCKED BY OPPOSITION
50.0%
50.0%
42.0%
ATTEMPTED SHOTS THAT MISS THE NET / MP
0.048
0.053
0.040
PERCENTAGE OF ATTEMPTED SHOTS THAT MISS THE NET
33.3%
50.0%
25.0%
 
 
 
 
SHOTS THROUGH TO THE NET /MP
0.024
0.000
0.052
SHOTS THROUGH SUCCESS-RATE
16.7%
0.0%
33.0%
TRUE SHOOTING-PERCENTAGE (GOALS / ATTEMPTED SHOTS)
0.0%
0.0%
2.27%
 
24
40
D-MEN
GOALS / MP
0.000
0.000
0.004
ASSISTS / MP
0.000
0.000
0.013
POINTS / MP
0.000
0.000
0.016
 
24
40
D-MEN
 
 
 
 
DEFENSIVE-ZONE
 
Thanks to some strong numbers moving the puck out of the defensive-zone, Beaulieu has produced a substantially better defensive-zone risk/reward rating. That said, Tinordi has been better defensively.
 
Tinordi has attempted to remove puck-possession by way of a body-check more often than Beaulieu, while Beaulieu has preferred to use stick-checks.
 
Tinordi has slightly better puck-battle winning percentage, and has blocked more shots.  Beaulieu has demonstrated a more active stick; as demonstrated by the number of opposition passes he's blocked. 
 
 Beaulieu has a defensive-zone pass success-rate of 73.9%, while Tinordi has completed 55.9% of his defensive-zone pass-attempts.
 
 
TINORDI / BEAULIEU
DEFENSIVE-ZONE (EVEN-STRENGTH)
24
40
D-MEN
 
 
 
 
DEFENSIVE-ZONE RISK/REWARD RATING
0.76
1.63
1.38
DEFENSIVE-ZONE RATIO (SUCCESSFUL TO UNSUCCESSFUL PLAYS)
1.76
2.41
2.87
 
 
 
 
ATTEMPTED DEFENSIVE-ZONE STICK-CHECKS /MP
0.143
0.473
0.215
SUCCESSFUL DEFENSIVE-ZONE STICK-CHECKS /MP
0.071
0.158
0.136
DZONE STICK CHECK SUCCESS-RATE
50.0%
33.3%
63.0%
 
 
 
 
ATTEMPTED DEFENSIVE-ZONE BODY-CHECK/MP
0.214
0.158
0.117
SUCCESSFUL DEFENSIVE-ZONE BODY-CHECKS / MP
0.119
0.158
0.078
DZONE BODY-CHECK SUCCESS-RATE
55.6%
100.0%
66.2%
 
 
 
 
OVERALL DEFENSIVE-ZONE PUCK-BATTLE WINNING-PERCENTAGE 
53.3%
50.0%
66.2%
DEFENSIVE-ZONE LOOSE-PUCK RECOVERIES / MP
0.834
1.209
0.809
DEFENSIVE-ZONE REBOUND LPR'S / MP
0.024
0.000
0.025
BLOCKED OPPOSITION PASSES /MP
0.071
0.158
0.089
BLOCKED SHOTS/ MP
0.095
0.053
0.101
DTOUCH EVENTS / MP
 
 
 
DEFENSIVE-ZONE EVENTS / MP
2.765
3.941
2.848
 
 
 
 
 D-ZONE DTOUCHES / MP
0.620
1.104
0.613
SUCCESSFUL D-ZONE DTOUCHES/MP
0.357
0.525
0.403
D-ZONE DTOUCH SUCCESS-RATE
57.7%
47.6%
65.8%
 
 
 
 
D-ZONE OTOUCHES / MP
1.120
1.576
1.270
SUCCESSFUL D-ZONE OTOUCHES/ MP
0.572
1.051
0.546
D-ZONE OTOUCH SUCCESS-RATE
51.1%
66.7%
43.0%
 
 
 
 
ATTEMPTED D-ZONE D2D PASSES /MP
0.238
0.578
0.253
SUCCESSFUL D-ZONE D2D PASSES /MP
0.167
0.525
0.213
D-ZONE D2D PASSING SUCCESS-RATE
70.0%
90.9%
84.3%
 
 
 
 
ATTEMPTED D-ZONE  STRETCH PASSES /MP
0.071
0.053
0.143
SUCCESSFUL D-ZONE STRETCH PASSES /MP
0.071
0.053
0.098
D-ZONE STRETCH PASS SUCCESS-RATE
100.0%
100.0%
68.4%
 
 
 
 
TOTAL ATTEMPTED D-ZONE PASSES /MP
0.810
1.209
0.976
TOTAL SUCCESSFUL D-ZONE PASSES /MP
0.453
0.893
0.690
TOTAL D-ZONE PASSING SUCCESS-RATE
55.9%
73.9%
70.7%
 
24
40
D-MEN
ATTEMPTED D-ZONE DEKES / MP
0.095
0.105
0.076
SUCCESSFUL D-ZONE DEKES / MP
0.048
0.105
0.051
D-ZONE DEKE SUCCESS-RATE
50.0%
100.0%
66.7%
 
 
 
 
ATTEMPTED D-ZONE WALL DEKES / MP
0.071
0.053
0.022
SUCCESSFUL D-ZONE WALL DEKES / MP
0.024
0.000
0.013
D-ZONE WALL DEKE SUCCESS-RATE
33.3%
0.0%
58.3%
 
 
 
 
ATTEMPTED DUMP-OUT/ MP
0.095
0.210
0.182
SUCCESSFUL DUMP-OUTS / MP
0.048
0.053
0.103
DUMP-OUT SUCCESS-RATE
50.0%
25.0%
56.4%
 
 
 
 
OBSTRUCTION PENALTIES / 60 MINUTES PLAYED
1.430
0.000
1.518
       

 
 
 
NEUTRAL-ZONE
 
Beaulieu has an impressive neutral-zone ratio of 12 successful plays for every 1 unsuccessful play. He has been both more active in the neutral-zone than Tinordi, and more successful. That said, we are working with a significantly small amount of neutral-zone data for both players.
 
 
TINORDI / BEAULIEU
NEUTRAL-ZONE (EVEN-STRENGTH)
24
40
D-MEN
 
 
 
 
NEUTRAL-ZONE RISK/REWARD RATING
0.24
0.58
0.40
NEUTRAL-ZONE RATIO (SUCCESSFUL TO UNSUCCESSFUL PLAYS)
4.33
12.00
4.67
 
 
 
 
ATTEMPTED NEUTRAL-ZONE STICK-CHECKS /MP
0.048
0.053
0.033
SUCCESSFUL NEUTRAL-ZONE STICK-CHECKS /MP
0.048
0.053
0.027
NZONE STICK CHECK SUCCESS-RATE
100.0%
100.0%
83.3%
 
 
 
 
ATTEMPTED NEUTRAL-ZONE BODY-CHECK/MP
0.000
0.000
0.002
SUCCESSFUL NEUTRAL-ZONE BODY-CHECKS / MP
0.000
0.000
0.002
NZONE BODY-CHECK SUCCESS-RATE
N/A
N/A
100.0%
 
 
 
 
NEUTRAL-ZONE PUCK-BATTLE WINNING-PERCENTAGE 
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
NEUTRAL-ZONE LOOSE-PUCK RECOVERIES / MP
0.071
0.158
0.192
NEUTRAL-ZONE CHIP DUMPS/ MP
0.000
0.000
0.002
BLOCKED OPPOSITION PASSES /MP
0.024
0.000
0.018
DTOUCH EVENTS / MP
 
 
 
NEUTRAL-ZONE EVENTS / MP
0.381
0.683
0.614
 
 
 
 
 N-ZONE DTOUCHES / MP
0.095
0.053
0.058
SUCCESSFUL N-ZONE DTOUCHES/MP
0.071
0.053
0.047
N-ZONE DTOUCH SUCCESS-RATE
75.0%
100.0%
81.3%
 
 24
40
DEF 
N-ZONE OTOUCHES / MP
0.214
0.473
0.358
SUCCESSFUL N-ZONE OTOUCHES/ MP
0.167
0.420
0.249
N-ZONE OTOUCH SUCCESS-RATE
77.8%
88.9%
69.7%
 
 
 
 
ATTEMPTED N-ZONE E/W PASSES /MP
0.024
0.053
0.020
SUCCESSFUL N-ZONE E/W PASSES /MP
0.024
0.000
0.016
N-ZONE PASSING SUCCESS-RATE
100.0%
0.0%
81.8%
 
 
 
 
TOTAL ATTEMPTED N-ZONE PASSES /MP
0.167
0.158
0.197
TOTAL SUCCESSFUL N-ZONE PASSES /MP
0.143
0.105
0.146
TOTAL N-ZONE PASSING SUCCESS-RATE
85.7%
66.7%
74.3%
 
 
 
 
ATTEMPTED N-ZONE DEKES / MP
0.000
0.053
0.022
SUCCESSFUL N-ZONE DEKES / MP
0.000
0.053
0.013
N-ZONE DEKE SUCCESS-RATE
N/A
100.0%
58.3%
 
 
 
 
ATTEMPTED DUMP-INS/ MP
0.048
0.263
0.134
SUCCESSFUL DUMP-INS / MP
0.024
0.263
0.107
DUMP-INS SUCCESS-RATE
50.0%
100.0%
79.7%
 
 
 
 
OFFSIDES / MP
0.000
0.000
0.002
 
24
40
D-MEN
 



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